Magnetic resonance imaging R2* mapping for evaluating Ki-67 proliferation index and cytokeratin 19 expression in solitary iron-sparing hepatocellular carcinoma: a retrospective single-center study
Original Article

Magnetic resonance imaging R2* mapping for evaluating Ki-67 proliferation index and cytokeratin 19 expression in solitary iron-sparing hepatocellular carcinoma: a retrospective single-center study

Sue Cao#, Chenyu Dong#, Jie Zhang#, Quanxi Li, Jianbo Xu, Ruomi Guo ORCID logo

Department of Radiology, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China

Contributions: (I) Conception and design: S Cao, C Dong, J Zhang, R Guo; (II) Administrative support: J Zhang, R Guo; (III) Provision of study materials or patients: Q Li, J Xu; (IV) Collection and assembly of data: S Cao, C Dong, Q Li, J Xu; (V) Data analysis and interpretation: S Cao, J Zhang, R Guo; (VI) Manuscript writing: All authors; (VII) Final approval of manuscript: All authors.

#These authors contributed equally to this work.

Correspondence to: Ruomi Guo, PhD. Department of Radiology, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, No. 600, Tianhe Road, Tianhe District, Guangzhou 510630, China. Email: guoruomi86@mail.sysu.edu.cn.

Background: Iron may be involved in the occurrence and development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and R2* relaxometry is the preferred noninvasive method for iron quantification. However, whether hepatic and intratumoral R2* values are associated with Ki-67 proliferation index (PI) and cytokeratin 19 (CK19) expression in iron-sparing HCC remains unclear. This study aimed to determine the associations of preoperative hepatic and intratumoral R2* values with Ki-67 PI and CK19 expression in patients with solitary iron-sparing HCC.

Methods: Consecutive adult patients with solitary HCC who underwent surgery at a single center between May 2018 and May 2025 were retrospectively enrolled. All patients had intratumoral iron-sparing as indicated on preoperative 3.0-T magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) R2* imaging and had complete postoperative pathological data for Ki-67 and CK19 expression. Hepatic and intratumoral R2* values were measured via region of interest (ROI) analysis. According to the cohort median, a high Ki-67 PI was defined as Ki-67 positivity in >20% of tumor cells, and CK19 positivity was defined membranous/cytoplasmic staining in ≥5% of tumor cells. Meanwhile, hepatic R2* was categorized at a cutoff of 136 s−1 and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) at a cutoff of 400 ng/mL. Exact logistic regression identified predictors of a high Ki-67 PI and positive CK19 expression, and model performance was evaluated via the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

Results: Eighty patients were enrolled (mean age 55.11±9.69 years; 93.75% male). A high Ki-67 PI was present in 43 (53.75%) patients, and positive CK19 expression was present in 16 (20.00%) patients. The high Ki-67 PI group, as compared to the low Ki-67 PI group, had higher AFP levels (P=0.035) and lower hepatic R2* values (P=0.038). According to multivariate exact logistic analysis, the independent predictors of a high Ki-67 PI were AFP >400 ng/mL [odds ratio (OR) =19.04; 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.98–121.46, P=0.002] and a hepatic R2* value ≥136 s−1 (OR =0.27; 95% CI: 0.10–0.75; P=0.012); the model including both of these factors yielded an AUC of 0.771 (95% CI: 0.664–0.858). The only independent predictor of positive CK19 expression was AFP >400 ng/mL (OR =8.50; 95% CI: 2.38–30.34; P=0.001), while an R2* value ≥136 s−1 was not significantly associated with positive CK19 expression (P=0.124).

Conclusions: In this retrospective single-center study of patients with solitary iron-sparing HCC, it was found that a combination of hepatic R2* (≥136 s−1) and AFP (>400 ng/mL) values may serve as a biomarker for predicting a high Ki-67 PI, whereas they had limited value for predicting positive CK19 expression.

Keywords: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC); magnetic resonance imaging (MRI); R2*; Ki-67 proliferation index (Ki-67 PI); cytokeratin 19 (CK19)


Submitted Feb 25, 2026. Accepted for publication Jun 22, 2026. Published online Jul 29, 2026.

doi: 10.21037/qims-2026-1-0434


Introduction

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver cancer and the third leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide (1). Although advances in surgery and imaging have improved prognosis, postoperative recurrence remains high (2-4). In addition, marked tumor heterogeneity contributes to substantial variability in prognosis even among patients receiving similar treatment. Reliable biomarkers of tumor aggressiveness are therefore needed for risk stratification among patients with HCC. Ki-67, a nuclear marker of proliferation, reflects tumor growth activity (5) and is associated with higher malignant potential, shorter recurrence-free survival (RFS), and worse overall survival (OS) in patients with HCC (6-8). Cytokeratin 19 (CK19), a marker of cholangiocytes and hepatic progenitor cells (9), is linked to aggressive tumor behaviors—including capsule disruption, microvascular invasion, vascular tumor thrombus, and nodal metastasis—resulting in earlier recurrence and poor survival (10-14). Thus, evaluating the expression of Ki-67 and CK19 is critical to accurately guiding risk stratification, individualized management, and prognostic assessment among patients with HCC.

The diagnosis of Ki-67 and CK19 is conducted mainly via preoperative biopsy or postoperative pathology (15), both of which are limited by procedural risk and sampling error (16). Preoperative noninvasive imaging, especially magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), offers a potential alternative (14,17-23). Certain MRI features can predict Ki-67 and CK19 expression (14,17-20), and advanced methods such as deep learning, texture analysis, and radiomics have demonstrated predictive capability (21-23). However, the diagnostic efficacy of MRI is influenced by imaging features and analysis methods, and its value in predicting Ki-67 and CK19 expression remains controversial.

Iron is a key trace element for maintaining cellular function (24) and may also be involved in the occurrence and development of HCC (25-27). According to one study (26), patients with hereditary hemochromatosis have a significantly increased risk of developing HCC, approximately 200 times that of the general population. Meanwhile, the growth of tumors can be inhibited by depriving cancer cells of essential iron (25,27). The tumor lesions of patients with HCC share a common feature: they lack iron deposition, even when formed in iron-loaded livers. The 2018 version of the Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS v2018) lists intratumoral iron‑sparing as an ancillary feature favoring malignancy, but this is not HCCspecific (28). However, the relationship between hepatic and intratumoral iron content and tumor-related markers (e.g., Ki-67 and CK19) in ironsparing HCC remains unclear. R2* relaxometry is the preferred noninvasive method for iron quantification (29). Only one study has examined the relationship between hepatic and intratumoral R2* values and the Ki-67 proliferation index (PI) in HCC (30). Therefore, research using preoperative hepatic and intratumoral R2* values to assess Ki-67 and CK19 is sparse, and the relationship between these factors has not been conclusively determined.

Iron-sparing HCC may provide a clinically relevant setting in which tumor iron metabolism and background hepatic iron status can be assessed simultaneously. Previous research in this area (14,17-23) has mainly evaluated conventional MRI features, radiomics, or serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) for Ki-67 and CK19 prediction, whereas quantitative R2* mapping directly reflects tissue iron-related relaxation (29) and may capture a different biological dimension (25-27). However, available evidence regarding hepatic or intratumoral R2* values in relation to Ki-67 and CK19 is sparse, and the relative contributions of background hepatic R2* and intratumoral R2* values have not been clarified in a surgically confirmed cohort of patients with iron-sparing HCC.

Therefore, this study aimed to determine whether preoperative hepatic and intratumoral R2* values are associated with Ki-67 PI and CK19 expression in patients with iron‑sparing HCC. We further assessed whether these quantitative MRI parameters, both alone or combined with established clinical indicators, could support the noninvasive preoperative evaluation of tumor aggressiveness. We present this article in accordance with the STARD reporting checklist (available at https://qims.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/qims-2026-1-0434/rc).


Methods

The study was reported according to the principles of retrospective clinical imaging research, and all analyses were based on data available before surgery and on postoperative histopathological reference standards. This retrospective single-center study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and its subsequent amendments, and was approved by the Institutional Review Board of The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University (approval No. II2025-229-01). The requirement for informed consent was waived due to the retrospective nature of the analysis.

Patients

We enrolled consecutive patients with pathologically confirmed HCC who underwent resection between May 2018 and May 2025 and had preoperative 3.0-T MRI with R2* maps showing intratumoral iron-sparing. Intratumoral iron-sparing was defined as a tumor signal lower than the background liver (31) on R2* maps. The other inclusion criteria were (I) age ≥18 years; (II) surgical resection; (III) solitary HCC; (IV) complete postoperative Ki-67 and CK19 data; and (V) MRI scanning performed within 1 month before surgery. Meanwhile, the exclusion criteria were (I) previous antitumor therapy; (II) a tumor diameter <10 mm; (III) significant R2* map artifacts; (IV) intratumoral hemorrhage; and (V) tumor steatosis. According to Hong et al.’s method (32), a proton density fat fraction (PDFF) <2.2% indicated noise, and lesions exceeding this threshold were considered to be steatotic and excluded from the analysis.

MRI examination protocol

Imaging was performed with 3.0-T scanners (Discovery MR750 and SIGNA Architect; GE HealthCare, Chicago, IL, USA). Patients fasted for 6–8 hours and received breath-hold training. Contrast agent (0.1 mmol/kg) was administered via a dual-head power injector (Spectris Solaris EP; Medrad, Bayern, Leverkusen, Germany) and included extracellular agents (n=3; Magnevist, Bayer), gadobenate dimeglumine (n=57; MultiHance, Bracco, Milan, Italy), or gadoxetate disodium (n=20; Primovist, Bayer), which was followed by a 20-mL saline flush. The protocol included T2-weighted imaging, diffusion-weighted imaging, chemical shift imaging, liver acquisition with volume acceleration dynamic contrast-enhanced imaging (with the hepatobiliary phase at 2 h for MultiHance and at 20 min for Primovist), and an axial six-echo three-dimensional gradient-echo sequence (mDixon) for PDFF and R2* mapping.

R2* maps were acquired in a single breath-hold. The SIGNA Architect parameters were as follows: first echo time (TE1) =0.8 ms, repetition time (TR) =6.2 ms, echo time interval (ΔTE) =1.2 ms, flip angle =3°, number of echoes =6, echo train length =3, matrix =128×128, field of view (FOV) =40 cm × 40 cm, number of slices =36, slice thickness =6 mm, voxel size =3.1×3.1×6.0 mm3, and bandwidth =111.11 kHz. The Discovery MR750 parameters were as follows: TE1 =0.8 ms, TR =5.4 ms, ΔTE =1.2 ms, flip angle =3°, number of echoes =6, matrix =128×128, FOV =36 cm × 36 cm, number of slices =24, thickness =8 mm, and bandwidth =125.00 kHz. This sequence could automatically generate R2* maps without the need for post-processing.

MRI analysis

Two radiologists (S.C. and C.D. with 8 and 7 years of abdominal MRI experience, respectively) who were blinded to the clinical data, Ki-67 status, and CK19 status but aware of HCC diagnosis and tumor location independently analyzed the images. On R2* maps, they manually drew regions of interest (ROIs) for the tumor (on the largest-diameter slice, maximized for size) and liver parenchyma (two ROIs in the right lobe and one in the left lobe, with vessels, ducts, and lesions being avoided). Each performed three measurements per tumor, which were averaged. The mean hepatic R2* value was calculated from the three parenchymal ROIs. Both radiologists performed measurements for assessment of agreement, but data from the more experienced one were used for analysis. Hepatic R2* was analyzed both as a continuous variable in group comparisons and as a categorical variable, with 136 s−1 serving as the threshold, in line with other multicenter research on liver iron quantification (33).

Background liver cirrhosis was assessed on contrast-enhanced MRI. The LI-RADS v2018 criteria (34) were used to measure tumor size (mm) and evaluate major and ancillary features, tumor in vein (TIV), LR-M (probably or definitely malignant, not specific for HCC) features, and category.

Clinical data

Data collected from the hospital picture archiving and communication system included age, sex, etiology, Child-Pugh class, and serological parameters within 2 weeks before surgery, including AFP (ng/mL), total bilirubin (TBIL; µmol/L), alanine aminotransferase (ALT; U/L), aspartate transaminase (AST; U/L), albumin (ALB; g/L), platelet (PLT) count (109/L), and international normalized ratio (INR). AFP was analyzed continuously in group comparisons and categorically at 400 ng/mL because this threshold is widely used in HCC risk stratification and prognostic assessment (4,35).

Histopathologic analysis

The pathological data were obtained by one author (J.X.) who had no knowledge of clinical or imaging information. Pathology data included diagnosis, location, differentiation grade, presence of hemorrhage and necrosis, and expression of Ki-67 and CK19. Ki-67 and CK19 expression was assessed via standard immunohistochemistry. Ki-67 positivity (brown-yellow nuclei) was recorded as the PI (0–100%). According to the cohort’s median PI, lesions were categorized as having a low (≤20%) or high (>20%) Ki-67 PI. CK19 positivity was defined as membranous/cytoplasmic staining in ≥5% of tumor cells (9). Lesions were matched by size and location for imaging-pathology correlation.

Missing data, measurement comparability, and control for bias

Only patients with complete preoperative MRI, clinical information required for the analyses, and postoperative Ki-67 and CK19 results were included in the study. Therefore, no imputation, last-observation-carried-forward procedure, or other missing-data replacement method was applied. Measurement comparability across the Ki-67 and CK19 groups was ensured by the use of the same MRI platforms, acquisition protocols, ROI rules, laboratory time window, and histopathological reference standard for all included patients. Selection bias was addressed through the implementation of consecutive enrollment and use of predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria, information bias was reduced via blinded imaging review and blinded pathological data extraction, measurement bias was evaluated according to the interreader intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC), and confounding bias was addressed via multivariate exact logistic regression with parsimonious model construction.

Sample size considerations

Because the study involved the retrospective analysis of a specific imaging phenotype, the sample size was determined by the number of consecutive eligible patients enrolled during the study period rather than by prospective recruitment. All patients meeting the predefined eligibility criteria were included. The final sample comprised 80 patients, with 43 high-Ki-67 PI events and 16 CK19-positive events. Exact logistic regression was used because of the modest sample size, low event counts for positive CK19 expression, and low-frequency categorical predictors. To avoid overfitting in the multivariate model, only variables selected from univariate analysis and with clinical relevance were considered.

Statistical analysis

Statistical analysis was performed with SPSS version 20.0 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA), R version 4.5.1 (The R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria), and MedCalc software (MedCalc Software, Ostend, Belgium). The Shapiro-Wilk test and visual inspection of distributions were used to assess normality. Continuous variables are expressed as the mean ± standard deviation or as the median and IQR, as appropriate, and comparisons between two independent groups were made via the t-test or Mann-Whitney U test. Categorical variables are presented as frequency (percentage) and were compared with the Pearson Chi-squared test or the Fisher exact test. Outliers were screened with distribution plots and source-record verification; no observation was excluded solely due to an extreme but clinically plausible value. Nonnormal quantitative variables were handled with nonparametric tests rather than with distributional transformation.

Exact logistic regression analysis was performed to identify predictors of a high Ki-67 PI and positive CK19 expression. Variables with P <0.1 in the univariate analysis were included in multivariate analysis. Multivariate models were constructed using a backward stepwise strategy while limiting the number of retained predictors according to the available event counts. Potential confounding was addressed by entering eligible clinical and imaging variables into the corresponding multivariate model; variables representing closely related R2* constructs were assessed carefully to avoid overparameterization. No subgroup analysis or interaction-effect analysis was prespecified or performed. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated to evaluate the diagnostic performance of the prediction models.

Interreader agreement for R2* measurements in HCC lesions and liver parenchyma was assessed according to the ICC. Agreement was categorized as poor (ICC <0.50), moderate (0.50≤ ICC <0.75), good (ICC =0.75–0.90), or excellent (ICC >0.90).

All tests were two-sided, and P<0.05 was considered statistically significant.


Results

Patient characteristics

A total of 80 patients with solitary iron‑sparing HCC were included in the study (mean age 55.11±9.69 years), including 75 (93.75%) males. The flowchart of patient inclusion is presented in Figure 1, and patients’ baseline characteristics are summarized in Table 1. All included patients had complete MRI R2* measurements, clinical variables used in the analyses, and postoperative Ki-67 and CK19 immunohistochemical results. Regarding etiology, 69 (86.25%) HCC cases were attributed to hepatitis B virus (HBV), 2 (2.50%) to hepatitis C virus (HCV), 5 (6.25%) to anemia (unknown etiology), and 4 (5.00%) to unknown causes. In terms of Child-Pugh class, 78 (97.50%) patients were class A and 2 (2.50%) were class B. The median AFP level was 11.78 [interquartile range (IQR), 4.00–165.51] ng/mL.

Figure 1 Flowchart of patient selection. CK19, cytokeratin 19; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; MRI, magnetic resonance imaging; PI, proliferation index.

Table 1

Baseline patient characteristics (N=80)

Variable Total (N=80)
Age (years) 55.11±9.69
Male sex 75 (93.75)
Etiology
   Hepatitis B 69 (86.25)
   Hepatitis C 2 (2.50)
   Anemia (unknown etiology) 5 (6.25)
   Unknown 4 (5.00)
Child-Pugh class
   A 78 (97.50)
   B 2 (2.50)
TBIL (μmol/L) 12.25 (8.93, 17.28)
AST (U/L) 25.00 (21.00, 43.00)
ALT (U/L) 28.00 (22.00, 49.75)
Albumin (g/L) 40.65 (37.33, 43.38)
PLT (×109/L) 168.00 (119.25, 220.25)
INR 1.05 (1.01, 1.09)
AFP (ng/mL) 11.78 (4.00, 165.51)
Radiological characteristics
   Cirrhosis 47 (58.75)
   LI-RADS features and categories
    Major features
      Size (mm) 32.04 (21.17, 44.68)
      Non-rim arterial phase hyperenhancement 70 (87.50)
      Non-peripheral washout 64 (80.00)
      Enhancing capsule 47 (58.75)
    Ancillary features
      Mild-to-moderate T2 hyperintensity 79 (98.75)
      Restricted diffusion 79 (98.75)
      Corona enhancement 3 (3.75)
      Non-enhancing capsule 4 (5.00)
      Nodule-in-nodule architecture 10 (12.50)
      Mosaic architecture 20 (25.00)
    LR-M category features
      Rim arterial phase hyperenhancement 5 (6.25)
      Peripheral washout 2 (2.50)
      Necrosis or severe ischemia 2 (2.50)
      Tumor in vein 2 (2.50)
    LI-RADS category
      LR-4 11 (13.75)
      LR-5 62 (77.50)
      LR-M 5 (6.25)
      LR-TIV 2 (2.50)
Hepatic R2* value (s−1) 128.68 (99.07, 196.30)
Intratumoral R2* value, (s−1) 34.95 (21.67, 49.93)
ΔR2* (liver – tumor) value (s−1) 91.47 (67.89, 147.13)
Ki-67 PI >20% 43 (53.75)
Positive CK19 expression 16 (20.00)

Data are presented as mean ± SD, n (%) or median (IQR). AFP, alpha-fetoprotein; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate transaminase; CK19, cytokeratin 19; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; INR, international normalized ratio; IQR, interquartile range; LI-RADS, Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System; LR-M, probably or definitely malignant, not specific for HCC; LR-TIV, malignancy with tumor in vein; PI, proliferation index; PLT, platelet count; SD, standard deviation; TBIL, total bilirubin.

The median interval between preoperative MRI and surgery was 7 (range, 1–24) days. Of the 80 patients included, 47 (58.75%) had cirrhosis, while 33 (41.25%) did not. No statistically significant difference was observed in the median hepatic R2* values between the cirrhosis (152.73 s−1, IQR, 99.13–215.25 s−1) and non-cirrhosis (128.33 s−1, IQR, 94.39–179.19 s−1) groups (P=0.247). Among the 69 patients with HBV infection, 35 received antiviral therapy while 34 did not. There was no statistically significant difference in the median hepatic R2* values between the antiviral treatment group (152.73 s−1, IQR 99.07–193.60 s−1) and the non-treatment group (124.59 s−1, IQR, 98.92–210.50 s−1) (P=0.885). The median tumor size was 32.04 (IQR, 21.17–44.68) mm. The median hepatic R2* value was 128.68 (IQR, 99.07–196.30) s−1, the median intratumoral R2* value was 34.95 (IQR, 21.67–49.93) s−1, and the median difference between the two was 91.47 (IQR, 67.89–147.13) s−1. The distribution of LI‑RADS category was as follows: LR‑4, 11 (13.75%); LR‑5, 62 (77.50%); LR‑M, 5 (6.25%); and LR‑TIV, 2 (2.50%).

Pathological analysis revealed that among the included cases, 10 were poorly differentiated, 69 moderately differentiated, and 1 well-differentiated. Additionally, 5 had HCC with hemorrhage, and 19 had HCC with necrosis. No statistically significant difference was observed in intratumoral R2* values across the differentiation groups (P=0.248). Similarly, there were no significant differences in R2* values between HCC lesions with and without hemorrhage (P=0.787) or between those with and without necrosis (P=0.363).

Clinical and imaging features based on the Ki-67 PI

Among the 80 patients, 37 (46.25%) exhibited a low Ki-67 PI, while 43 (53.75%) had a high Ki-67 PI. In the low-Ki-67 PI group, the mean age was 56.46±7.85 years, with 35 (94.59%) males and a median tumor size of 30.38 (IQR, 20.74–45.22) mm. In the high-Ki-67 PI group, the mean age was 53.95±10.98 years, with 40 (93.02%) males and a median tumor size of 32.82 (IQR, 22.12–43.75) mm. The high Ki-67 PI group, as compared to the low Ki-67 PI group, showed significantly higher AFP levels [101.80 (IQR, 2.84–691.30) vs. 6.58 (IQR, 4.09–26.52) ng/mL; P=0.035], significantly lower hepatic R2* values [112.90 (IQR, 79.63–185.65) vs. 162.67 (IQR, 106.33–209.78) s−1; P=0.038], and a significantly smaller difference between hepatic and intratumoral R2* values [81.90 (IQR, 55.33–120.10) vs. 113.20 (IQR, 80.46–165.14) s−1; P=0.022]. No significant differences were observed in other clinical or imaging characteristics between the two groups (P>0.05). The details of the Ki-67 PI results are shown in Table 2.

Table 2

Clinical and imaging features by Ki-67 proliferation index and CK19 status

Variable Ki-67 CK19
≤20% (N=37) >20% (N=43) P value Negative (N=64) Positive (N=16) P value
Age (years) 56.46±7.85 53.95±10.98 0.251 55.34±9.63 54.19±10.19 0.672
Male sex 35 (94.59) 40 (93.02) >0.99 60 (93.75) 15 (93.75) >0.99
Child-Pugh class >0.99 >0.99
   A 36 (97.30) 42 (97.67) 62 (96.88) 16 (100.00)
   B 1 (2.70) 1 (2.33) 2 (3.12) 0 (0.00)
TBIL (μmol/L) 12.30 (9.01, 16.51) 11.58 (8.60, 17.60) 0.938 12.40 (9.07, 17.38) 10.30 (7.30, 16.18) 0.377
AST (U/L) 24.00 (19.50, 34.00) 25.00 (21.00, 47.00) 0.409 27.50 (21.25, 47.00) 22.50 (19.00, 26.50) 0.065
ALT (U/L) 27.00 (19.00, 45.50) 31.00 (23.00, 50.00) 0.119 30.50 (22.00, 53.00) 25.50 (21.25, 29.00) 0.136
Albumin (g/L) 41.20 (37.75, 43.30) 40.50 (36.50, 43.60) 0.768 40.65 (37.33, 43.53) 40.60 (36.83, 43.23) 0.754
PLT (×109/L) 151.00 (129.00, 216.00) 172.00 (116.00, 222.00) 0.629 155.50 (115.25, 220.25) 174.00 (159.00, 234.00) 0.284
INR 1.04 (0.97, 1.08) 1.05 (1.02, 1.11) 0.168 1.05 (1.01, 1.09) 1.04 (0.96, 1.11) 0.772
AFP (ng/mL) 6.58 (4.09, 26.52) 101.80 (2.84, 691.30) 0.035 10.23 (4.07, 113.87) 557.62 (2.49, 937.73) 0.047
Radiological characteristics
   Cirrhosis 24 (64.86) 23 (53.49) 0.303 41 (64.06) 6 (37.50) 0.054
   LI-RADS features and categories
    Major features
      Size (mm) 30.38 (20.74, 45.22) 32.82 (22.12, 43.75) 0.965 38.83 (22.18, 45.32) 28.10 (16.91, 38.20) 0.194
      Non-rim arterial phase hyperenhancement 32 (86.49) 38 (88.37) >0.99 57 (89.06) 13 (81.25) 0.410
      Non-peripheral washout 29 (78.38) 35 (81.40) 0.737 52 (81.25) 12 (75.00) 0.727
      Enhancing capsule 20 (54.05) 27 (62.79) 0.429 38 (59.38) 9 (56.25) 0.820
    Ancillary features
      Mild-to-moderate T2 hyperintensity 37 (100.00) 42 (97.67) >0.99 63 (98.44) 16 (100.00) >0.99
      Restricted diffusion 37 (100.00) 42 (97.67) >0.99 63 (98.44) 16 (100.00) >0.99
      Corona enhancement 0 (0.00) 3 (6.98) 0.245 2 (3.12) 1 (6.25) 0.493
      Non-enhancing capsule 3 (8.11) 1 (2.33) 0.331 4 (6.25) 0 (0.00) 0.579
      Nodule-in-nodule architecture 7 (18.92) 3 (6.98) 0.174 8 (12.50) 2 (12.50) >0.99
      Mosaic architecture 9 (24.32) 11 (25.58) 0.897 16 (25.00) 4 (25.00) >0.99
    LR-M category features
      Rim arterial phase hyperenhancement 2 (5.41) 3 (6.98) >0.99 2 (3.12) 3 (18.75) 0.052
      Peripheral washout 2 (5.41) 0 (0.00) 0.211 1 (1.56) 1 (6.25) 0.362
      Necrosis or severe ischemia 0 (0.00) 2 (4.65) 0.497 2 (3.12) 0 (0.00) >0.99
      Tumor in vein 0 (0.00) 2 (4.65) 0.497 2 (3.12) 0 (0.00) >0.99
    LI-RADS categories 0.550 0.212
      LR-4 6 (16.21) 5 (11.63) 10 (15.62) 1 (6.25)
      LR-5 29 (78.38) 33 (76.74) 50 (78.12) 12 (75.00)
      LR-M 2 (5.41) 3 (6.98) 2 (3.12) 3 (18.75)
      LR-TIV 0 (0.00) 2 (4.65) 2 (3.12) 0 (0.00)
Hepatic R2* value (s−1) 162.67 (106.33, 209.78) 112.90 (79.63, 185.65) 0.038 150.97 (99.09, 196.30) 111.30 (74.61, 111.30) 0.202
Intratumoral R2* value (s−1) 34.97 (21.22, 52.69) 34.93 (22.40, 48.83) 0.685 34.93 (21.80, 49.93) 36.20 (17.98, 61.88) >0.99
ΔR2* (liver – tumor) value (s−1) 113.20 (80.46, 165.14) 81.90 (55.33, 120.10) 0.022 109.07 (71.39, 161.28) 83.89 (50.32, 92.73) 0.050

Data are presented as mean ± SD, n (%) or median (IQR). AFP, alpha-fetoprotein; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate transaminase; CK19, cytokeratin 19; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; INR, international normalized ratio; IQR, interquartile range; LI-RADS, Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System; LR-M, probably or definitely malignant, not specific for HCC; LR-TIV, malignancy with tumor in vein; PI, proliferation index; PLT, platelet count; SD, standard deviation; TBIL, total bilirubin.

Clinical and imaging features based on CK19 expression

Among the 80 patients, 64 (80%) had negative CK19 expression, while 16 (20%) had positive expression. In the CK19-negative group, the mean age was 55.34±9.63 years, with 60 (93.75%) males and a median tumor size of 38.83 (IQR, 22.18–45.32) mm. In the CK19-positive group, the mean age was 54.19±10.19 years, with 15 (93.75%) males and a median tumor size of 28.10 (IQR, 16.91–38.20) mm. The CK19-positive group, as compared to the CK19-negative group, had significantly higher AFP levels [557.62 (IQR, 2.49–937.73) vs. 10.23 (IQR, 4.07–113.87) ng/mL; P=0.047] and a significantly smaller difference between hepatic and intratumoral R2* values [83.89 (IQR, 50.32–92.73) vs. 109.07 (IQR, 71.39–161.28) s−1; P=0.050]. No other significant differences were observed in clinical or imaging characteristics between the two groups (P>0.05). Details of the CK19 expression results are shown in Table 2.

Predictors of high Ki-67 PI

Univariate exact logistic regression analysis revealed that the factors associated with high Ki-67 PI were AFP >400 ng/mL [odds ratio (OR) =14.60, 95% confidence interval (CI): 3.32–138.12; P<0.001), hepatic R2* value ≥136 s−1 (OR =0.37; 95% CI: 0.15–0.89; P=0.027), and the difference between hepatic and intratumoral R2* values (OR =0.99; 95% CI: 0.99–1.00; P=0.039). Multivariate analysis confirmed that the independent predictors of a high Ki-67 PI were AFP >400 ng/mL (OR =19.04; 95% CI: 2.98–121.46; P=0.002) and a hepatic R2* value ≥136 s−1 (OR =0.27; 95% CI: 0.10–0.75; P=0.012). The logistic regression model can be expressed as follows: Logit P = 0.32 + 2.95 × AFP – 1.32 × R2*. The combined predictive model achieved an AUC of 0.771 (95% CI: 0.664–0.858) (Figure 2). The details regarding the analysis of a high Ki-67 PI are shown in Table 3. Representative examples of low and high Ki-67 PI cases, along with their corresponding R2* maps, are shown in Figure 3.

Figure 2 ROC curve for the combination of hepatic R2* value (≥136 s−1) and AFP level (>400 ng/mL) in predicting a high Ki-67 proliferation index (>20%) in HCC. AFP, alpha-fetoprotein; AUC, area under the ROC curve; CI, confidence interval; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; ROC, receiver operating characteristic.

Table 3

Univariate and multivariate exact logistic regression analysis for high Ki-67 proliferation index (>20%)

Variable Univariate analysis Multivariate analysis
OR (95% CI) P value OR (95% CI) P value
Age 0.97 (0.93, 1.02) 0.255
Sex (male vs. female) 1.23 (0.23, 7.73) 0.811
Child-Pugh class (A vs. B) 0.86 (0.07, 10.92) 0.897
TBIL 1.00 (0.94, 1.06) 0.908
AST 1.00 (0.99, 1.02) 0.428
ALT 1.00 (0.99, 1.01) 0.489
Albumin 0.97 (0.91, 1.04) 0.457
PLT 1.00 (1.00, 1.01) 0.669
INR 24.89 (0.09, 10,826.38) 0.265
AFP >400 ng/mL 14.60 (3.32, 138.12) <0.001 19.04 (2.98, 121.46) 0.002
Radiological characteristics
   LI-RADS features and categories
    Major features
      Size (mm) 1.00 (0.98, 1.03) 0.863
      Non-rim arterial phase hyperenhancement 0.38 (0.00, 7.30) 0.529
      Non-peripheral washout 1.18 (0.32, 4.34) 0.794
      Enhancing capsule 0.16 (0.00, 2.09) 0.176
    Ancillary features
      Mild-to-moderate T2 hyperintensity 0.38 (0.00, 7.30) 0.529
      Restricted diffusion 0.38 (0.00, 7.30) 0.529
      Corona enhancement 1.06 (0.39, 2.92) 0.906
      Non-enhancing capsule 1.42 (0.59, 3.47) 0.433
      Nodule-in-nodule architecture 0.35 (0.03, 2.23) 0.270
      Mosaic architecture 0.35 (0.08, 1.29) 0.117
    LR-M category features
      Rim arterial phase hyperenhancement 1.20 (0.41, 3.55) 0.734
      Peripheral washout 1.23 (0.23, 7.73) 0.811
      Necrosis or severe ischemia 2.36 (0.66, 10.23) 0.189
      Tumor in vein 4.52 (0.35, 631.03) 0.270
    LI-RADS category
      LR-4 Reference
      LR-5 1.34 (0.39, 4.82) 0.641
      LR-M 1.65 (0.23, 13.49) 0.616
      LR-TIV 5.91 (0.37, 886.10) 0.225
Hepatic R2* value ≥136 s−1 0.37 (0.15, 0.89) 0.027 0.27 (0.10, 0.75) 0.012
Intratumoral R2* value 0.99 (0.98, 1.01) 0.392
ΔR2* (liver – tumor) value 0.99 (0.99, 1.00) 0.039 1.00 (0.99, 1.01) 0.816

AFP, alpha-fetoprotein; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate transaminase; CI, confidence interval; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; INR, international normalized ratio; LI-RADS, Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System; LR-M, probably or definitely malignant; LR-TIV, malignancy with tumor in vein; OR, odds ratio; PLT, platelet count; TBIL, total bilirubin.

Figure 3 Representative cases of HCC lesions (indicated by arrowheads) with low (≤20%) or high (>20%) Ki-67 PI, along with their corresponding R2* maps. (A-C) A 65-year-old male with a 50-mm tumor in liver segment VI. (D-F) A 65-year-old male with a 20-mm tumor in liver segments VI and VII. (G-I) A 66-year-old female with a 27-mm tumor in the left hepatic lobe. AFP, alpha-fetoprotein; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; PI, proliferation index; T1WI, T1-weighted imaging; T2WI, T2-weighted imaging.

Predictors of CK19-positive expression

Univariate analysis identified the significant predictors of positive CK19 expression to be AFP >400 ng/mL (OR =8.42; 95% CI: 2.60–29.25; P<0.001), the difference between hepatic and intratumoral R2* values (OR =0.99; 95% CI: 0.98–1.00; P=0.061), and tumor peripheral washout (OR =6.48, 95% CI: 1.15–42.39; P=0.035). In multivariate analysis, the only independent predictor for CK19 positivity was AFP >400 ng/mL (OR =8.50; 95% CI: 2.38–30.34, P=0.001), while R2* value was not found to be a significant predictor (P=0.124). The details of the analysis on CK19 expression are provided in Table 4.

Table 4

Univariate and multivariate exact logistic regression analysis for positive cytokeratin 19 expression

Variable Univariate analysis Multivariate analysis
OR (95% CI) P value OR (95% CI) P value
Age 0.99 (0.93, 1.04) 0.668
Sex (male vs. female) 1.30 (0.12, 7.73) 0.793
Child-Pugh class (A vs. B) 0.76 (0.01, 9.92) 0.856
TBIL 0.97 (0.87, 1.04) 0.473
AST 0.99 (0.95, 1.01) 0.327
ALT 0.99 (0.97, 1.01) 0.354
Albumin 0.98 (0.89, 1.06) 0.628
PLT 1.00 (1.00, 1.01) 0.305
INR 0.25 (0.00, 238.47) 0.699
AFP >400 ng/mL 8.42 (2.60, 29.25) <0.001 8.50 (2.38, 30.34) 0.001
Radiological characteristics
   LI-RADS features and categories
    Major features
      Size 0.99 (0.96, 1.02) 0.613
      Non-rim arterial phase hyperenhancement 0.78 (0.04, 115.90) 0.883
      Non-peripheral washout 0.50 (0.13, 2.29) 0.351
      Enhancing capsule 4.10 (0.32, 53.13) 0.251
    Ancillary features
      Mild-to-moderate T2 hyperintensity 0.78 (0.04, 115.90) 0.883
      Restricted diffusion 0.78 (0.04, 115.90) 0.883
      Corona enhancement 1.06 (0.29, 3.40) 0.927
      Non-enhancing capsule 0.87 (0.30, 2.63) 0.803
      Nodule-in-nodule architecture 0.41 (0.00, 4.13) 0.509
      Mosaic architecture 1.15 (0.20, 4.75) 0.862
    LR-M category features
      Rim arterial phase hyperenhancement 0.66 (0.20, 2.50) 0.521
      Peripheral washout 6.48 (1.15, 42.39) 0.035 4.00 (0.45, 35.46) 0.213
      Necrosis or severe ischemia 1.01 (0.18, 4.09) 0.993
      Tumor in vein 0.76 (0.00, 9.92) 0.856
    LI-RADS categories
      LR-4 1.00 (reference)
      LR-5 1.73 (0.35, 17.11) 0.533
      LR-M 9.82 (1.07, 145.74) 0.043
      LR-TIV 1.40 (0.01, 36.79) 0.853
Hepatic R2* value ≥136 s−1 0.42 (0.13, 1.26) 0.124
Intratumoral R2* value 1.01 (0.99, 1.03) 0.401
ΔR2* (liver – tumor) value 0.99 (0.98, 1.00) 0.061 0.99 (0.98, 1.00) 0.096

AFP, alpha-fetoprotein; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate transaminase; CI, confidence interval; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; INR, international normalized ratio; LI-RADS, Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System; LR-M, probably or definitely malignant; LR-TIV, malignancy with tumor in vein; OR, odds ratio; PLT, platelet count; TBIL, total bilirubin.

Interreader agreement

In the interreader agreement analysis, the ICC for intratumoral R2* measurements and hepatic R2* measurements was 0.954 (95% CI: 0.930–0.971; P<0.01) and 0.991 (95% CI: 0.986–0.994; P<0.01), respectively, indicating excellent consistency.


Discussion

Accurate preoperative prediction of HCC’s biological behavior is crucial for individualized treatment decision-making. In our retrospective single-center study, we used MRI R2* imaging to clarify the association between hepatic and intratumoral R2* values and the expression of Ki-67 and CK19 in patients with iron-sparing HCC. It was found that the hepatic R2* value was significantly lower in patients with a high Ki-67 PI (P=0.038). The combination of hepatic R2* value ≥136 s−1 and AFP >400 ng/mL demonstrated good predictive ability for high Ki-67 PI, with an AUC of 0.771 (95% CI: 0.664–0.858). AFP >400 ng/mL was identified as an independent predictor for positive CK19 expression, while a hepatic R2* value ≥136 s−1 demonstrated limited predictive ability (P=0.124).

The liver plays a central role in systemic iron metabolism, and hepatic disease may disrupt intracellular iron homeostasis, thereby altering iron metabolism in the liver. Previous research suggests that iron metabolism abnormalities vary across different stages of liver disease (36). In our study, hepatic iron content was an independent predictor of a high Ki-67 PI. However, the high Ki-67 PI group exhibited lower hepatic R2* values compared to the low Ki-67 PI group (P=0.038). One possible explanation for this is that highly proliferative tumors have higher iron requirements, which may be accompanied by the relative depletion of systemic iron stores. Since the liver is the primary iron storage organ, its iron content is closely linked to total whole-iron status (37,38), and R2* values exhibit a strong linear correlation with hepatic iron concentration (33,39). Consequently, lower hepatic R2* values in tumors with higher proliferative activity may reflect altered iron metabolism in the host-tumor setting. These findings are consistent with the study by Huang et al. (30). Other work (36,40) has shown that the serum iron levels of patients with HBV-related HCC are lower compared to those with HBV-related chronic hepatitis B (CHB) or HBV-related liver cirrhosis. Moreover, Wei et al. (40) found that serum iron levels are negatively correlated with tumor size. These findings constitute indirect support for an association between liver iron depletion and more aggressive tumor biology in HCC.

Although hepatic R2* ≥136 s−1 remained a significant predictor for a high Ki-67 PI, its effect size was modest, and the discrimination ability of the combined model was only moderate. Therefore, this finding should be interpreted as exploratory and hypothesis-generating rather than clinically actionable. Serological markers such as ferritin and transferrin represent the simplest means of assessing systemic iron status (41), yet data related to these markers were unavailable for most participants in this study. Consequently, the hypothesis that tumors with a high Ki-67 PI deplete systemic iron and reduce hepatic R2* values has not yet been adequately tested, as no further validation was performed. Given these limitations, further validation in larger independent cohorts will be required to determine whether this association reflects a reproducible biological signal or a model-dependent finding.

Hepatic R2* values ≥136 s−1 showed limited ability for predicting positive CK19 expression. The discrepancy in performance of hepatic R2* for Ki-67 and CK19 may reflect the biological differences between these markers. Ki-67 is a marker of proliferative activity (5) and may be more closely related to tumor iron demand and host iron utilization, whereas CK19 reflects a progenitor/biliary phenotype rather than proliferative burden per se (9). It is therefore plausible that hepatic iron-related measures show a modest association with Ki-67 but a limited association with CK19. In addition, the relatively small number of CK19-positive tumors in our cohort reduced the statistical power of the analysis.

LI‑RADS v2018 lists intratumoral ironsparing as an ancillary malignant feature (28). Ironfree nodules have been demonstrated to possess precancerous properties in cases of hemochromatosis (31,42). In our study, no significant differences in intratumoral R2* values were observed between the high and low Ki-67 PI groups (P=0.685) or between the CK19-positive and CK19-negative groups (P>0.99), consistent with the findings of Huang et al. (30). Additionally, no statistically significant difference was observed in intratumoral R2* values across the differentiation groups (P=0.248). Similarly, there were no significant differences in R2* values between HCC lesions with and without hemorrhage (P=0.787) or between those with and without necrosis (P=0.363). This may be attributed to malignant hepatocytes losing their iron storage capacity, resulting in “iron resistance” (43,44). In our cohort, the median tumor R2* value was 34.95 (IQR 21.67–49.93) s−1, corresponding to a median iron concentration of approximately 0.44 mg/g (IQR, 0.26–0.64 mg/g) (33). These findings are consistent with those reported by Huang et al. (median R2* value 38.55 s−1, IQR, 26.40–47.81 s−1) (30).

Serum AFP is a commonly used biomarker for HCC, employed in the surveillance of high-risk populations and the assessment of recurrence (2). An AFP level >400 ng/mL is associated with rapid tumor growth (35) and serves as a predictor of posttreatment recurrence and prognosis (45,46). In our study, AFP >400 ng/mL was an independent predictor of a high Ki-67 PI and positive CK19 expression, a finding consistent with previous research (47-49).

From a clinical perspective, these results suggest that hepatic R2* mapping may complement serum AFP in the preoperative assessment of proliferative activity in patients with solitary iron-sparing HCC. R2* maps can be generated from routine multi-echo gradient-echo MRI without invasive sampling, and AFP has already been incorporated into standard protocols of HCC surveillance and prognostic assessment. Therefore, the combined use of hepatic R2* and AFP may help identify patients with a higher probability of an elevated Ki-67 PI before surgery, thus supporting more focused multidisciplinary discussion of surgical strategy, recurrence surveillance intensity, and postoperative risk assessment. In contrast, the absence of an independent association between R2* parameters and positive CK19 expression indicates that R2* mapping should not be used as a stand-alone surrogate for CK19 status.

This study involved several limitations that should be addressed. First, as we employed a retrospective single-center design and a relatively small sample size, the findings should be considered exploratory and remain to be validated in larger, prospective, multicenter, and multi-ethnic cohorts before broader conclusions can be drawn. Second, the generalizability of our findings may be limited by the characteristics of the study population. Our cohort primarily consisted of HBV-infected patients (86.25%) and male participants (93.75%). Therefore, whether these results apply to patients with HCV- or nonalcoholic steatohepatitis/nonalcoholic fatty liver disease-related HCC remains unclear. Third, intratumoral iron-sparing was used as an imaging-based selection criterion to define a specific HCC subgroup rather than as an independent biomarker applicable to all patients with HCC. We acknowledge that defining iron-sparing according to the relative tumor-to-background R2* signal introduces design dependence and limits the generalization of the findings beyond the selected iron-sparing phenotype. In addition, no universally accepted absolute R2* threshold is currently available for defining intratumoral iron-sparing in HCC. Fourth, intratumoral R2* was measured on the largest tumor section to maximize lesion conspicuity and ROI size, in accordance with previously reported methods (50,51). However, this single-slice approach may not fully capture intratumoral heterogeneity. Given that the source R2* maps had a slice thickness of 6–8 mm, finer interval sampling across adjacent levels was not feasible in the dataset. Fifth, although Ki-67 and CK19 expression are associated with prognosis, prognostic analysis was not performed due to insufficient follow-up duration in most of the included cases.


Conclusions

This retrospective single-center study of patients with solitary iron-sparing HCC produced data indicating that hepatic R2* (≥136 s−1) combined with AFP (>400 ng/mL) may serve as a biomarker for predicting HCC with a high Ki-67 PI. This finding could help further clarify the relationship between liver iron content and proliferative tumor biology, providing a reference for optimizing therapeutic stratification. This study was the first to investigate the association between hepatic and intratumoral R2* levels with CK19 expression in patients with HCC. Although no statistically significant correlation was found, our findings may provide insights for future research.


Acknowledgments

None.


Footnote

Reporting Checklist: The authors have completed the STARD reporting checklist. Available at https://qims.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/qims-2026-1-0434/rc

Data Sharing Statement: Available at https://qims.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/qims-2026-1-0434/dss

Funding: This study was supported by grants from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos. 82471567 and 81801757), and Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation (Nos. 2024A1515010279 and 2023A1515010256).

Conflicts of Interest: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form (available at https://qims.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/qims-2026-1-0434/coif). The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.

Ethical Statement: The authors are accountable for all aspects of the work in ensuring that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the work are appropriately investigated and resolved. This retrospective single-center study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and its subsequent amendments. The study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University (approval No. II2025-229-01), and individual consent for this retrospective analysis was waived.

Open Access Statement: This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0), which permits the non-commercial replication and distribution of the article with the strict proviso that no changes or edits are made and the original work is properly cited (including links to both the formal publication through the relevant DOI and the license). See: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.


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Cite this article as: Cao S, Dong C, Zhang J, Li Q, Xu J, Guo R. Magnetic resonance imaging R2* mapping for evaluating Ki-67 proliferation index and cytokeratin 19 expression in solitary iron-sparing hepatocellular carcinoma: a retrospective single-center study. Quant Imaging Med Surg 2026;16(9):690. doi: 10.21037/qims-2026-1-0434

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