Deep medullar veins: predictors of clinical progression in Alzheimer’s disease
Introduction
Alzheimer’s disease (AD), the leading cause of dementia, has become one of the most expensive, deadly, and burdensome diseases worldwide (1). Its pathological hallmarks include tau hyperphosphorylation, amyloid-β (Aβ) plaques, neuroinflammation, and brain atrophy (2,3). However, despite extensive research, clinical drug trials have often failed, primarily because treatments are initiated too late in the disease course (4). This underscores the urgent need for early diagnosis and intervention to slow disease progression.
AD is characterized by a prolonged asymptomatic phase during which pathological changes are already underway, even in the absence of noticeable clinical symptoms (5). In addition to Aβ and tau pathology, other mechanisms—such as cerebral small vessel abnormalities (6,7) and perivenous glymphatic drainage impairment—are increasingly recognized as contributors to AD development (8,9). Notably, in 1995, Moody et al. (10) first described non-inflammatory degenerative changes in the subependymal and periventricular veins. These changes are now known as periventricular venous collagenosis, a condition classified as part of small vessel disease (11). Emerging evidence suggests that venous insufficiency and venous collagenosis may contribute to deep medullary veins (DMVs) degeneration, which are commonly observed in individuals with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and AD (12-14).
Susceptibility-weighted imaging (SWI) is a highly sensitive technique that enables in vivo visualization of small intracranial veins by leveraging the susceptibility effects of deoxyhemoglobin. SWI-visible DMVs are integral to the brain’s glymphatic system and have been associated with aging, brain atrophy, and cognitive impairment (10,11,15-18). Despite these findings, direct evidence linking DMVs alterations to AD dementia and its clinical progression remains lacking.
Given these gaps, this longitudinal study aimed to investigate whether DMVs can serve as imaging biomarkers for AD progression. We hypothesize that DMVs damage occurs prior to the onset of AD dementia and may play a critical role in subsequent cognitive decline. Understanding the relationship between DMVs and AD progression could provide new insights into disease mechanisms and facilitate earlier intervention strategies. We present this article in accordance with the STROBE reporting checklist (available at https://qims.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/qims-2025-737/rc).
Methods
Participants and cognitive assessments
This retrospective longitudinal study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and its subsequent amendments. The data were obtained from the Open Access Series of Imaging Studies-3 (OASIS-3) project (https://www.oasis-brains.org), a publicly available longitudinal neuroimaging and clinical dataset hosted by the Washington University Knight Alzheimer’s Disease Research Center. OASIS-3 includes longitudinal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), positron emission tomography (PET), clinical, and cognitive data from 1,098 participants ranging from cognitive normal (CN) to MCI and AD. Follow-up periods span up to 15 years, with assessments conducted at multiple timepoints.
People without subjective complaints or mood disturbances, with normal cognition typically score 24–30 on the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) scores, and who have a Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR) of 0 are considered CN. (19). Those who present with preserved global cognition (MMSE =24–30) but show subtle decline (CDR =0.5), characterized by objective memory impairment indicated by their education-adjusted Wechsler Memory Scale Logical Memory II testing performance, and do not have impairment in other cognitive domains as well as do not meet the criteria for dementia, are diagnosed with MCI (19). Individuals who manifest with objective cognitive decline (MMSE <24, CDR ≥0.5), meeting the National Institute of Neurological and Communicative Disorders and Stroke and the Alzheimer’s Disease and Related Disorders Association criteria through documented progressive memory dysfunction and impairment in multiple cognitive domains are diagnosed with AD dementia (19).
Figure 1 shows the flowchart of participant enrollment. A total of 845 participants who underwent brain SWI were initially included in the study. The interval between baseline cognitive assessments, MRI examinations, and PET scans was within three months. This study excluded 672 participants due to inferior SWI images quality that influenced the visualization of DMVs (e.g., motion artifacts or poor signal-to noise ratio), as well as 3 participants diagnosed with non-AD dementia. This left 170 participants for baseline analysis. Representative examples of excluded SWI images are provided in Figure 2.
To further assess the predictive value of DMVs score and longitudinal cognitive decline, we excluded individuals without follow-up data (n=2) and those diagnosed with AD (n=39). This resulted in a final cohort of 126 participants. Additionally, 62 participants were included in the mediation analysis.
Clinical progression
At each follow-up visit, participants were classified as either stable or progressive. The stable status was defined as the absence of cognitive conversion, whereas progressive status referred to conversion from CN to MCI/AD, or from MCI to AD (7). The final diagnosis was based on the participant’s status at the last visit. For survival analysis, progression time was calculated as the interval between the date of MRI scans and the date when conversion occurred.
SWI protocol and analysis
According to the OASIS-3 MRI protocol, SWI sequences were acquired from 3T MRI scanners. DMVs scoring was performed via dynamic assessment across five consecutive axial SWI slices (2 mm thickness each), enabling raters to evaluate venous continuity and morphology across adjacent layers. The selected slices spanned an anatomical range of approximately 10 mm within the periventricular region, from just above the basal ganglia to the level where the lateral ventricles were no longer visible (20). Only DMVs radiating perpendicularly from the lateral ventricles into the deep white matter were considered for scoring. According to medullar veins anatomy (21), DMVs were evaluated in six regions (bilateral), namely, the frontal, parietal, and occipital regions (Figure 3A). A 4-point score was used in each area: 0 points for all the veins exhibiting continuity and homogeneous signals; 1 point for veins with continuity but an inhomogeneous signal (one or more than one vein); 2 points for one or more veins exhibiting discontinuity and spot-like hypointensity; and 3 points for all veins having a lack of continuity (Figure 3B-3E). The total DMVs score which ranged from 0 to 18 was calculated by aggregating the scores of the six areas. Then, DMVs scores were dichotomized into a low-score group and a high-score group using a threshold of <8 vs. ≥8 (22). This cutoff was selected based on the median DMVs score within the study sample, which provided a data-driven approach to stratify participants. Median-based dichotomization is commonly used in exploratory analyses to achieve balanced group sizes when no established clinical threshold exists (23,24). SWI images were assessed by two trained radiologists who were blinded to the clinical data. Interrater reliability was good for the total DMVs score, with an intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) of 0.79 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.72–0.84]. In addition, Cohen’s κ was calculated for the dichotomized DMVs scores (κ=0.73, 95% CI: 0.63–0.83).
MRI segmentation
To acquire total cortical volume and intracranial volume (ICV), T1-weighted images from the 3T scanners were segmented using FreeSurfer 5.3 (http://surfer.nmr.mgh.harvard.edu). The data processing steps followed those described in (25). Briefly, this processing includes motion correction, removal of non-brain tissue, automated Talairach transformation, segmentation, intensity normalization, tessellation, automated topology correction, and surface deformation. A trained lab member subsequently reviewed the automated segmentations generated by FreeSurfer 5.3 to ensure accuracy.
11C-labeled Pittsburgh compound B (PIB) PET imaging and post-processing
Participants received 6–20 millicuries of carbon-11 labeled Pittsburgh Compound B (mCi 11C-labeled PIB) intravenously with a 60-minute dynamic PET scan in a three-dimensional mode (24×5 s frames; 9×20 s frames; 10×1 min frames; 9×5 min frames).
PET imaging analyses were performed using the PET unified pipeline (PUP, https://github.com/ysu001/PUP). PET images were first smoothed to a common spatial resolution of 8 mm. Inter-frame motion correction for dynamic images was applied using standard registration procedures. PET images were then registered to T1-weighted magnetic resonance (MR) images segmented using FreeSurfer 5.3 for brain parcellation. The regional spread function technique was used for the partial volume correction (26). The standardized uptake value ratio (SUVR) used 30–60 minutes post-injection as the time window with the cerebellar cortex as the reference region.
First, to assess global Aβ burden, the mean cortical SUVR was calculated as the arithmetic mean of the SUVRs from the bilateral precuneus, prefrontal cortex, gyrus rectus, and lateral temporal regions. Second, to achieve standardized quantification of Aβ analysis across centers, the Centiloid scale was employed to convert PiB PET data to a 0–100 scale (27). Finally, the cortical Centiloid values for PiB imaging were calibrated on the Centiloid scale using the equations provided in (28).
Statistical analysis
The statistical analysis was performed using the software SPSS 20.0 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA), R software (version 4.4.1; R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria), and GraphPad Prism 10.3.0 for Windows (GraphPad Software, San Diego, CA, USA).
Sample characteristics
Missing data were assessed for all variables. Cases with missing variables were excluded from the relevant analyses. Analyses of variance (ANOVA), non-parametric Kruskal–Wallis tests, chi-squared tests, and Spearman correlations were used to compare baseline characteristics among diagnostic groups, or to test associations between DMVs score and demographic factors. Post hoc multiple comparisons were performed with Bonferroni correction. Logistic regression was used to assess the association between continuous DMVs scores and diagnosis (stable CN—those cognitively normal during long-term follow-up—vs. baseline-diagnosed AD). The odds ratio (OR) and P values were calculated to quantify this relationship. Continuous variables with normal distributions were presented as mean with standard deviation, whereas non-normal distributions were reported as median with interquartile range (IQR). Categorical variables were expressed as frequency and percentages.
Survival analysis
Participants who did not complete follow-up visits were excluded from survival analyses. DMVs scores were dichotomized based on the median value (<8 vs. ≥8) for Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. The log-rank test was used to assess group differences in progression-free survival. For Cox proportional hazards regression models, DMVs scores were treated as a continuous variable to preserve statistical power and provide precise estimates of risk. Covariates included age, sex, APOE ε4 status, MMSE score, cortical volume, and ICV. Additionally, we used receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves to evaluate the diagnostic performance of the Cox regression models in predicting longitudinal cognitive decline. The Youden index was used to determine sensitivity and specificity.
Mediation analysis
We conducted a mediation analysis to investigate whether Aβ burden mediates the effect of DMVs damage on cognitive impairment. The mediation model employed a three-variable regression framework, with the DMVs score as the independent variable, the MMSE score as the dependent variable, and cortical Centiloid as the mediator. Age, sex, and cortical volume were included as covariates. The significance of the mediation effect was assessed through bootstrapping with 5,000 replications and a 95% CI; a CI that does not contain zero was considered significant. The partial mediation (PM) effect was used to quantify the contribution of the DMVs score to the total effect and was calculated as the ratio of the indirect effect to the total effect. This analysis was performed using the PROCESS macro.
Results
Participant characteristics
A total of 170 participants were enrolled in this study. The baseline characteristics of all participants are summarized in Table 1. Compared to individuals with MCI and AD, CN participants were younger and had a higher cortical volume. AD patients, in turn, had a higher proportion of APOE ɛ4 carriers, lower MMSE score, and higher cortical Centiloid compared to both CN and MCI groups. A significant group effect was also observed in ICV (ANOVA P=0.043), yet no pairwise differences reached significance after Bonferroni correction.
Table 1
| Characteristic | CN | MCI | AD | P value | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N | Data | N | Data | N | Data | ||||
| Mean age (years) | 95 | 71.74 (7.82) | 36 | 76.51 (7.12) | 39 | 76.30 (6.44) | <0.001*,†,‡ | ||
| Male | 95 | 54 (56.84) | 36 | 28 (77.78) | 39 | 23 (58.97) | 0.083 | ||
| MMSE | 95 | 29 [28, 30] | 36 | 29 [27, 29] | 39 | 22 [18, 25] | <0.001*,‡,§ | ||
| APOE ɛ4 carriers | 95 | 27 (28.42) | 36 | 11 (30.56) | 39 | 27 (69.23) | <0.001*,‡,§ | ||
| BMI (kg/m2) | 95 | 26.06 [24.62, 30.11] | 36 | 26.86 [23.64, 29.99] | 39 | 26.07 [23.23, 27.72] | 0.130 | ||
| ICV (cm3) | 94 | 1,532.60 (168.80) | 33 | 1,605.28 (169.33) | 37 | 1,592.74 (156.13) | 0.043* | ||
| Cortical volume (cm3) | 94 | 419.15 (44.15) | 33 | 408.31 (44.29) | 37 | 391.53 (39.73) | 0.005*,‡ | ||
| Cortical Centiloid | 41 | 1.46 [−1.31, 27.63] | 9 | 12.89 [−1.40, 82.01] | 13 | 82.01 [66.42, 110.47] | <0.001*,‡,§ | ||
| DMVs score | 95 | 7 [6, 8] | 36 | 13 [8.25, 15] | 39 | 14 [13, 15] | <0.001*,†,‡,§ | ||
| Low-score group | 95 | 75 (78.95) | 36 | 10 (27.78) | 39 | 5 (12.82) | <0.001*,†,‡ | ||
| Follow-up data | |||||||||
| Follow-up, month | 93 | 97 [53, 111] | 33 | 70 [27, 104] | − | − | − | ||
| Conversion to MCI | 93 | 9 (9.68) | 33 | − | − | − | − | ||
| Conversion to AD | 93 | 12 (12.90) | 33 | 16 (48.48) | − | − | − | ||
Quantitative variables with normal distributions are reported as mean (standard deviation), while non-normal distributions were reported as median [interquartile range]. Categorical variables are reported as frequency (percentage). †, CN versus MCI group; ‡, CN versus AD group; §, MCI versus AD group; *, P<0.05, significant difference. AD, Alzheimer’s disease; APOE, apolipoprotein E; BMI, body mass index; CN, cognitive normal; DMVs, deep medullar veins; ICV, intracranial volume; MCI, mild cognitive impairment; MMSE, Mini-Mental State Examination.
We then examined changes in DMVs scores across the AD continuum. The results showed a progressive increase in DMVs scores as the disease advanced, with significant differences among CN, MCI, and AD groups (P<0.001). We further compared DMVs scores between stable CN (n=72) and baseline AD (n=39). Logistic regression showed that higher DMVs scores were significantly associated with increased odds of baseline AD compared to stable CN (OR =2.59, 95% CI: 1.81–3.71, P<0.001). Furthermore, correlation analysis revealed that DMVs scores were significantly associated with age (r=0.371, P<0.001), MMSE scores (r=−0.494, P<0.001), cortical volume (r=−0.371, P<0.001), and cortical Centiloid values (r=0.498, P<0.001), but showed no significant correlation with ICV (P=0.051). The correlation results are illustrated in Figure 4.
DMVs predict clinical progression in AD
Among the baseline non-demented participants, 37 individuals (30.08%) experienced longitudinal cognitive decline. This included 9 individuals who progressed from CN to MCI, 12 who converted from CN to AD, and 16 who transitioned from MCI to AD. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that participants in the high-grade group (DMVs score ≥8) exhibited a significantly increased risk of progression to MCI/AD (log-rank P<0.001; Figure 5A). Furthermore, Cox regression analysis demonstrated that the DMVs score was a strong predictor of cognitive decline [hazard ratio (HR) =1.13, 95% CI: 1.02–1.24, P=0.014; Table 2], even after adjusting for age, sex, MMSE score, APOE ɛ4 status, cortical volume, and ICV. The Cox regression model showed a robust predictive value [area under the curve (AUC) =0.800, P<0.001; Figure 5B], with a sensitivity of 75.00% and a specificity of 77.91%.
Table 2
| Variables | CN and MCI | CN | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR (95% CI) | P value | HR (95% CI) | P value | ||
| Age | 1.09 (1.05–1.14) | <0.001* | 1.12 (1.06–1.18) | <0.001* | |
| DMVs score | 1.13 (1.02–1.24) | 0.014* | 1.28 (1.00–1.63) | 0.049* | |
| MMSE | 0.91 (0.83–0.99) | 0.036* | – | 0.867 | |
| APOE ɛ4 carriers | – | 0.659 | – | 0.847 | |
| Cortical volume | – | 0.447 | – | 0.609 | |
| ICV | – | 0.612 | – | 0.181 | |
| Sex | – | 0.795 | – | 0.149 | |
*, statistical significance. APOE, apolipoprotein E; CI, confidence interval; CN, cognitive normal; DMVs, deep medullar veins; HR, hazard ratio; ICV, intracranial volume; MCI, mild cognitive impairment; MMSE, Mini-Mental State Examination.
These analyses were further conducted in the baseline CN subgroup, yielding similar results. The difference in diagnostic conversion risk across DMVs grades remained significant (log-rank P=0.014; Figure 5C). A higher baseline DMVs score was strongly associated with an increased risk of progression from CN to MCI/AD (HR =1.28, 95% CI: 1.00–1.63, P=0.049; Table 2). The predictive performance of the model in this subgroup was also excellent (AUC =0.845, sensitivity =76.19%, specificity =83.10%, P<0.001; Figure 5D).
Mediation among DMVs score, Aβ, and cognitive function
The cortical Centiloid of PIB showed a significant mediation effect between DMVs score and MMSE score after correcting for multiple covariates (PM =26.64%; total effect β=−0.578, P<0.001; direct effect β=−0.425, P=0.001; indirect effect β=−0.154, 95% CI: −0.337 to −0.017; Figure 6).
Discussion
In this study, we investigated the potential of the DMVs score as a biomarker for clinical progression in AD. Survival analysis and ROC curves showed that an elevated DMVs score is a significant risk factor for cognitive decline, with higher scores indicating an increased likelihood of disease progression. Furthermore, we identified a strong association between increased DMVs scores and Aβ deposition. Mediation analysis revealed that Aβ burden partially mediates the relationship between DMVs alterations and cognitive function, highlighting the potential link between cerebrovascular pathology and AD pathogenesis.
AD follows a gradual trajectory, with prior studies estimating an annual conversion rate from MCI to AD ranging between 7% and 15% (29-32)—a rate nearly 10 times higher than that of CN individuals (33). Our findings align with these estimates, emphasizing the importance of early AD diagnosis. DMVs serve as the primary venous drainage pathway for the deep white matter (34), and their dysfunction may contribute to AD pathology. Recent research has established a connection between abnormalities in SWI-visible DMVs and cognitive impairment (12,18). Consistently, our study found that patients with MCI and AD exhibited higher DMVs scores. In addition to examining DMVs alterations across the cognitive spectrum, we compared individuals with stable cognition over long-term follow-up to those diagnosed with AD at baseline. This comparison revealed a markedly higher prevalence of elevated DMV scores in the AD group, underscoring a strong association between venous changes and established AD pathology. Using cognitively stable individuals as a reference enhances the clinical relevance of our findings, suggesting that DMVs alterations not only appear early but also become more pronounced in overt AD, supporting their potential as imaging biomarkers to distinguish AD from normal aging.
Moreover, DMVs scores correlated with multiple pathological markers, including age, MMSE score, brain atrophy, and Aβ burden. Population-based studies have similarly reported an association between DMVs reduction and both aging and brain atrophy (11,17,35), corroborating our findings. Notably, Liu et al. (17) identified DMVs-related atrophy in the middle and inferior temporal lobes and hippocampus—regions particularly vulnerable in AD (36). These findings further support the role of DMVs alterations in AD pathophysiology.
Our longitudinal analysis underscores the predictive potential of the DMVs score for AD progression. Recent evidence suggests a growing association between impaired venous drainage and AD, with studies confirming a reduced venous drainage system in AD patients (37-39). One potential mechanism linking venous insufficiency to AD involves disruption of the glymphatic system, a perivascular network responsible for clearing metabolic waste from the central nervous system (40,41). Glymphatic dysfunction, exacerbated by venous insufficiency, impairs Aβ clearance, leading to its accumulation and subsequent cognitive decline (8). Glymphatic fluid stasis also contributes to venous stenosis and occlusion, further diminishing venule visibility on SWI sequences (42). Although glymphatic vessels are difficult to visualize using conventional neuroimaging techniques, they are known to surround cerebral small veins (43). These findings suggest that DMVs alterations may serve as an indirect marker of both venous and glymphatic dysfunction, providing valuable insight into AD pathophysiology.
Another proposed mechanism linking venous dysfunction to AD involves Aβ deposition within cerebral veins (37). Such deposits may contribute to venous collagenosis, leading to structural and functional impairments of cerebral veins (44). Cerebrovascular dysfunction, characterized by diminished reactivity and altered blood flow dynamics, may further exacerbate Aβ accumulation in small veins, ultimately accelerating AD pathogenesis (44). Furthermore, our mediation analysis confirmed that DMVs alterations may contribute to cognitive decline via Aβ deposition, reinforcing the multifactorial nature of AD beyond primary neurodegenerative pathology (45). These findings suggest that evaluating DMVs integrity could provide novel insights into brain microcirculation (15) and AD progression.
Despite these promising findings, our study has several limitations. First, the DMVs score provides a global assessment of small venous changes, but given the regional heterogeneity of AD pathology, future studies should focus on AD-specific regions to better characterize localized venous alterations. Second, cerebral perfusion data were lacking, limiting the ability to control for hemodynamic influences on DMVs visibility. Third, other common age-related comorbidities—such as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, which can increase deoxyhemoglobin levels and exaggerate venous hypointensity, and lacunar infarcts, which may alter vein morphology—may confound DMVs scoring. Due to the retrospective nature of the study and limited clinical data, adjustment for these factors was not feasible. Fourth, given the relatively small sample size, caution is warranted in the interpretation of results and their generalization to broader populations. Larger, more diverse cohorts are needed to validate the longitudinal trajectory of DMVs changes in AD. Fifth, some participants were excluded due to poor SWI image quality, introducing selection bias. Lastly, although interrater reliability was excellent, the visual scoring method remains subjective and is limited by the relatively low field strength of the imaging modality. Future studies employing quantitative approaches using ultra-high-field (7T) MRI could provide more precise morphological assessments of DMVs (e.g., length, density, and tortuosity) (12) and reduce measurement bias.
Conclusions
Our findings underscore the association between DMVs alterations and cognitive dysfunction across the AD continuum. Furthermore, we highlight the potential of SWI-visible DMVs as imaging biomarkers for tracking disease progression in AD.
Acknowledgments
We would like to thank the OASIS-3 Principal Investigators (T. Benzinger, D. Marcus, and J. Morris) for providing the data, and Avid Radiopharmaceuticals, a wholly owned subsidiary of Eli Lilly, for providing the AV-45 doses. We would also like to thank the reviewers for their helpful and constructive comments on this paper.
Footnote
Reporting Checklist: The authors have completed the STROBE reporting checklist. Available at https://qims.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/qims-2025-737/rc
Funding: This study was supported by
Conflicts of Interest: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form (available at https://qims.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/qims-2025-737/coif). S.L. declares that this study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 82302157). The other authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.
Ethical Statement: The authors are accountable for all aspects of the work in ensuring that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the work are appropriately investigated and resolved. The study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and its subsequent amendments.
Open Access Statement: This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0), which permits the non-commercial replication and distribution of the article with the strict proviso that no changes or edits are made and the original work is properly cited (including links to both the formal publication through the relevant DOI and the license). See: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.
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