Predicting glioma histo-molecular diagnosis and prognosis: preoperative dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging insights
Introduction
Glioma heterogeneity significantly influences clinical treatment strategies and patient outcomes. Previous studies have highlighted that higher World Health Organization (WHO) classifications correlate with increased glioma malignancy and poorer prognosis. Additionally, the molecular profile of gliomas is crucial for diagnosis, surgery, and survival outcomes (1-3). However, traditional diagnosis has limitations, such as invasiveness, incomplete sampling, and an inability to fully capture tumor heterogeneity. Therefore, there is a pressing need for noninvasive methods to preoperatively predict glioma characteristics, WHO grade, molecular genetics, and survival.
Perfusion imaging, which visualizes tumor blood flow, microvasculature, and angiogenesis, has emerged as a promising noninvasive modality for glioma assessment (4,5). Dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE) perfusion imaging, based on T1 signal changes, offers a detailed portrayal of the tumor microvasculature, including vessel density, blood-brain barrier (BBB) integrity, and permeability (6-8). Yan et al. demonstrated the superior performance of DCE magnetic resonance imaging (DCE-MRI) parameters in glioma grading and survival prediction compared with other imaging modalities, such as arterial spin labeling (ASL) or intravoxel incoherent motion (IVIM) diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) (9). Thus, DCE-MRI plays a unique and irreplaceable role in preoperative glioma evaluation and warrants further investigation (10).
Numerous studies have underscored the utility of DCE-MRI in predicting tumor grade, survival, and specific molecular types, such as isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) mutations (11-14). However, gaps remain in understanding its full potential. Although studies have explored quantitative DCE-derived parameters, such as transfer constant (Ktrans), extracellular volume fraction (Ve), and reflux constant (Kep), less attention has been given to semiquantitative measures, such as the initial area under the curve (iAUC), which can provide insights into tumor physiology and blood volume variations (15). Additionally, there are limited data on how DCE-derived parameters correlate with molecular markers, such as cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitor 2A/B (CDKN2A/B), chromosome 7 gain, and chromosome 10 loss (+7/−10), which are critical in glioma classification according to the 2021 WHO guidelines. Furthermore, some studies have suggested the use of histogram analysis to derive parameters such as mean and maximum values from regions of interest (ROI) for glioma assessment (16). This raises the question of whether the maximum, minimum, and average values from both the tumor parenchyma and peritumor parenchyma can effectively predict glioma diagnosis and prognosis.
Our study aimed to comprehensively explore and compare the preoperative utility of various DCE-MRI-derived parameters, including maximum, minimum, and average values from the tumor and peritumor parenchyma, in grading gliomas, identifying molecular subtypes, and predicting prognosis. Additionally, we constructed and presented predictive models in a nomogram format, offering a quantitative tool for individual risk prediction and patient benefit assessment. The evaluation of these nomograms will focus on their discrimination ability, accuracy, and clinical practicality to assess their overall clinical effectiveness. We present this article in accordance with the STROBE reporting checklist (available at https://qims.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/qims-2025-36/rc).
Methods
Study participants
This study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and its subsequent amendments. The study was approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University (No. [2021]209). The Ethics Committee waived the need for informed consent due to the retrospective nature of the study.
Patients [101 patients; mean age ± standard deviation (SD), 47.05±12.81 years; 72 males and 29 females] who underwent preoperative MRI at the First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University (June 2013 to May 2021) and were confirmed to have adult-type diffuse gliomas by pathology were enrolled retrospectively. Additional inclusion and exclusion criteria are presented in Figure 1. Follow-up survival data were collected through clinical interviews until 31 May 2021. Overall survival (OS) was defined as the duration from the date of primary tumor resection to the date of death, censored at the date of the last follow-up visit if the patient was alive or lost to follow up.
MRI protocol
Images were acquired using a 3.0T MR scanner (MAGNETOM Verio Prisma, Siemens Healthineers, Erlangen, Germany). The detailed imaging parameters are listed in Table 1. Each participant underwent conventional MRI sequences, including pre-contrast axial T1-weighted imaging (T1WI), axial T2-weighted imaging (T2WI), axial/coronal T2-fluid-attenuated inversion recovery (FLAIR) imaging, and axial T1-weighted contrast-enhanced imaging (T1CE), in addition to DCE-MRI.
Table 1
| Parameters | T1WI | T2WI | T2-FLAIR | DCE-MRI | T1-MPRAGE | T1CE | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spin-echo | Turbo spin-echo | Turbo spin-echo | T1-VIBE | TWIST | Echo planar imaging | Spin-echo | ||||||
| Contrast agent | – | – | – | – | Gadolinium | Gadolinium | Gadolinium | |||||
| Dose (mmol/Kg) | – | – | – | – | 0.1 | |||||||
| Flip angles | 150° | 150° | 150° | 2°/15° | 12° | 8° | 150° | |||||
| TR/TE (ms/ms) | 2,000/17 | 4,200/109 | 9,000/84 | 3.83/1.37 | 4.89/1.88 | 2,300/2.43 | 2,000/17 | |||||
| Slice thickness (mm) | 6 | 6 | 6 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0.75 | 6 | |||||
| Field of view (mm2) | 220×220 | 220×220 | 220×220 | 220×220 | 220×220 | 240×225 | 220×220 | |||||
| Voxel resolution (mm3) | 0.7×0.7×6 | 0.6×0.6×6 | 0.7×0.7×6 | 1.4×1.4×3.5 | 1.4×1.4×3.5 | 0.8×0.8×0.8 | 0.7×0.7×6 | |||||
DCE-MRI, dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging; MRI, magnetic resonance imaging; T1CE, T1-weighted contrast-enhanced imaging; T1-MPRAGE, T1-magnetization-prepared rapid gradient-echo; T1-VIBE, T1-volumetric interpolated breath-hold examination; T1WI, T1-weighted imaging; T2-FLAIR, T2-fluid-attenuated inversion recovery; T2WI, T2-weighted imaging; TE, echo time; TR, repetition time; TWIST, time-resolved angiography with stochastic trajectories sequences.
The DCE-MRI protocol comprised two precontrast T1-volumetric interpolated breath-hold examination (T1-VIBE) sequences, each with distinct flip angles (2° and 15°), to calculate the T1-map, and dynamic contrast-enhanced time-resolved angiography with stochastic trajectories sequences (TWIST; 75 measurements, total scan time of 358 s). A bolus injection of 0.1 mmol/kg body weight of gadolinium (Magnevist, Schering, Berlin, Germany) at an injection rate of 4 mL/s was started from the fifth measurement of 75 phases in total, followed by a 20 mL 0.9% saline flush. Post-contrast sagittal three-dimensional (3D) T1-weighted magnetization-prepared rapid gradient-echo (MPRAGE) and T1CE images were obtained after DCE-MRI.
DCE-MRI analysis
All DCE-MRI data were transmitted to a commercially available and clinically approved post-processing workstation (Sango via, Siemens Healthcare) for analysis using the Siemens Tissue 4D workflow according to the manufacturer’s instructions. Automatic motion correction and alignment were first performed. The tissue signal intensity was converted to gadolinium concentration. The two-compartment Toft’s model was used to fit the pharmacokinetic curves (17). Three types of the arterial input function (AIF; the slow, intermediate, and fast types), based on mathematical simulation, were automatically provided (18,19). According to the operation manual, one of the above three types with the smallest chi-square value was selected. ROIs were then sketched at the three consecutive and maximal levels of tumors after the consensus of two experienced radiologists according to previous studies (20-22). Within each level, two ROIs were positioned as follows:
- One ROI (irregularly shaped) encompassed all solid components of the tumor parenchyma (hereinafter referred to as the “tumor” region), excluding large vessels, meninges, and necrotic and hemorrhagic areas. ROI placements on DCE-derived maps were performed using T1CE as the reference when tumors showed enhancement; if there was no enhancement, T2-FLAIR images were used as the reference to draw the ROIs.
- The other ROI (circular, measuring 10 mm2) was randomly placed on areas extending ≤1 cm from the tumor margin (expressed as “peritumoral” hereinafter).
Representative images of the ROIs are shown in Figure 2. Thus, quantitative parameters, including Ktrans, Ve, and Kep, and the semiquantitative parameter iAUC which was in the first 60 seconds, were calculated. The minimum, mean, and maximum values of each DCE-MRI metric in each layer were recorded, and the average values of the three levels of each metric were used for analysis. A total of 24 parameters [2 ROIs (tumor parenchyma/peritumoral) × 4 parameters (Ktrans/Kep/Ve/iAUC) per ROI × 3 statistical values (the average of the maximum/minimum/mean values across the three levels) per parameter] were derived, such as the minimum value of Ve derived from the tumor parenchyma (tumor.Ve.min).
Histopathological and molecular evaluation
The mutation statuses of IDH1 and IDH2 were determined using high-throughput sequencing methods. The status of 1p/19q, epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR), and CDKN2A/B was evaluated using fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) (23). Following the 2021 WHO Central Nervous System (CNS) classification, tumors were reclassified using an integrated histomolecular diagnosis, which incorporated existing molecular results and original pathologic diagnoses.
Statistical analysis
The data were analyzed using the software SPSS 26 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA), the SPSSAU data scientific analysis platform (https://spssau.com/) (24), and the R programming language (version 4.1.2, The R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria).
Normally distributed data are expressed as mean ± SD, and non-normally distributed data are expressed as median ± interquartile range (IQR). Univariate analysis was conducted using unpaired Student’s t-tests, one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA), Mann-Whitney rank-sum tests, Kruskal-Wallis tests, or chi-square tests, if available. Multivariate analysis was performed using logistic or Cox regression models, incorporating age, sex, and univariate variables with a P value less than 0.1 as covariates. The predictive or prognostic models were comprehensively evaluated and compared using the area under the curve (AUC) calculated from receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and DeLong tests. Nomograms were constructed to visually represent these models using the R package nomogram and calibration curve analysis, and decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed (25). Furthermore, the 1-, 2-, and 5-year survival rates of individuals were predicted. Statistical significance was set at P<0.05, and the results were presented with a 95% confidence interval (CI) in parentheses.
Results
Demographic and oncological information
Patient demographic information and oncological characteristics, including histopathological and molecular data, are presented in Table 2. There were 61/101 high-grade gliomas (HGGs; WHO grade 4) and 40/101 low-grade gliomas (LGGs; WHO grade 2 and 3). Notably, 23 individuals harbored IDH-mutant astrocytoma (12 classified as WHO grade 2, 5 as grade 3, and 6 as grade 4), 14 presented with IDH-mutant and 1p/19q-codeleted oligodendroglioma (11 cases of WHO grade 2 and 3 of grade 3), and 55 had grade 4 IDH-wildtype glioblastoma, according to the WHO 2021 classification. A total of 9 cases were classified as IDH-wildtype, not otherwise specified (NOS), because of incomplete information, and the detailed molecular information is shown in Table S1. Until 31 May 2021, 49 (48.5%) patients were alive, 41 (40.6%) had died, and 11 (10.9%) had been lost to follow-up.
Table 2
| Parameter | Number | Gender (n=101) | Age (years) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Male (n=72) | Female (n=29) | P value | Mean ± SD | P value | |||
| Group | 101 | 0.82 | <0.0001**** | ||||
| Low-grade | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39.80±9.50 | |||
| High-grade | 61 | 44 | 17 | 51.80±12.52 | |||
| CNS WHO grade | 101 | 0.84 | <0.0001**** | ||||
| Grade 2 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 39.27±9.32 | |||
| Grade 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 41.40±10.36 | |||
| Grade 4 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 51.80±12.52 | |||
| IDH | 101 | 0.78 | <0.0001**** | ||||
| Wild-type | 64 | 45 | 19 | 52.38±11.83 | |||
| Mutant | 37 | 27 | 10 | 37.84±8.56 | |||
| 1p/19q | 85 | 0.25 | 0.01* | ||||
| Codeletion | 19 | 16 | 3 | 40.63±9.17 | |||
| Non-codeletion | 66 | 47 | 19 | 47.70±13.22 | |||
| EGFR amplification | 56 | 0.95 | 0.31 | ||||
| No amplification | 37 | 25 | 12 | 50.97±13.85 | |||
| Amplification | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54.63±9.33 | |||
| +7/−10 cytogenetic signature | 20 | 0.52 | 0.06 | ||||
| No +7/−10 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 42.50±13.19 | |||
| +7/−10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 62.00±11.31 | |||
| CDKN2A/B homozygous deletion | 48 | 0.94 | 0.13 | ||||
| No deletion | 43 | 35 | 8 | 40.16±11.14 | |||
| Deletion | 5 | 4 | 1 | 48.40±11.74 | |||
| Integrated histomolecular diagnosis | 101 | 0.40 | <0.0001**** | ||||
| Astrocytoma, IDH-mutant | 23 | 14 | 7 | 36.65±7.52 | |||
| Oligodendroglioma, IDH-mutant and 1p/19q codeleted | 14 | 12 | 2 | 39.79±10.03 | |||
| Glioblastoma, IDH-wildtype | 55 | 35 | 13 | 53.45±11.87 | |||
| IDH-wildtype, NOS | 9 | 5 | 4 | 45.78±9.73 | |||
*, P<0.05; ****, P<0.0001. CDKN2A/B, cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitor 2A/B; CNS, central nervous system; EGFR, epidermal growth factor receptor; IDH, isocitrate dehydrogenase; NOS, not otherwise specified; SD, standard deviation; WHO, World Health Organization.
As shown in Table 2, only age but not sex was found to be significantly associated with genotype, such as IDH and 1p/19q status, diagnosis, and tumor grade. Specifically, gliomas with high-grade, IDH-wildtype, and 1p/19q-noncodeletion tended to occur in older patients.
Glioma grading with DCE-MRI-related parameters
Different groups of HGG and LGG
According to the univariate analysis (Table S2), parameters derived from the tumor parenchyma, including the maximum, mean, and minimum values, significantly differentiated LGGs from HGGs (P<0.05). Specifically, Kep values were lower in HGGs, whereas other parameters exhibited higher values in HGGs. Furthermore, the tumor.iAUC.mean significantly demonstrated the highest AUC [0.853 (0.763–0.920)] with the best 90.2% sensitivity and 70% specificity using the optimal-retrospectively determined threshold of 0.08 (P<0.05, Table S2 and Figure 3A).
Subsequently, multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that age [odds ratio (OR): 1.058 (1.007–1.110)] and tumor.Kep.max [OR: 0.972 (0.950–0.996)] were promoting factors for predicting HGGs (P<0.05, Table 3). However, compared to univariate analysis using tumor.iAUC.mean, the prediction model did not exhibit improved discrimination ability with a greater AUC [0.87 (0.80–0.94), P>0.05, Figure 3A].
Table 3
| Predictors | Parameter | P (for HL) | β | SE | P (for β) | OR (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Age | 0.69 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 0.02* | 1.058 (1.007–1.110) |
| tumor.Kep.max | −0.03 | 0.01 | 0.02* | 0.972 (0.950–0.996) | ||
| Grade | Age | 0.26 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 0.04* | 1.07 (1.004–1.14) |
| tumor.Kep.max | −0.03 | 0.01 | 0.03* | 0.973 (0.95–0.997) | ||
| IDH | Age | 0.15 | −0.11 | 0.03 | <0.001*** | 0.89 (0.85–0.94) |
| tumor.Kep.max | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.049* | 1.02 (1.00–1.03) | ||
| Constant | 3.81 | 1.18 | 0.01* | 47.78 (4.46–511.67) | ||
| 1p/19q | tumor.Kep.max | 0.03 | −0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01* | 0.982 (0.968–0.996) |
| Constant | 2.14 | 0.49 | <0.001*** | 8.50 (3.28–22.02) | ||
| CDKN2A/B | tumor.Ve.max | 0.001 | 13.19 | 8.77 | 0.13 | 5.36×105 (0.019–1.55×1013) |
| Constant | −39.3 | 25.82 | 0.13 | 0 (0–8.21×105) |
*, P<0.05; ***, P<0.001. β, regression coefficient; CDKN2A/B, cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitor 2A/B; CI, confidence interval; HGG, high-grade glioma; HL, Hosmer-Lemeshow test; IDH, isocitrate dehydrogenase; LGG, low-grade glioma; OR, odds ratio; SE, standard error of regression coefficient; WHO, World Health Organization.
The model was visualized using a nomogram (Figure 3B) with good diagnostic capability and adequate calibration (Figure 3C). DCA (Figure 3D) further confirmed the clinical validity of the model, revealing that the cutoff value of 0.54 determined by ROC analysis fell within the range of threshold probabilities (0.03–0.78).
Subgroup analysis of WHO Grades 2, 3, and 4
The univariate analysis revealed that parameters derived from the tumor parenchyma, peritumoral-iAUC-max, and peritumoral-iAUC-mean could differentiate different grades of gliomas (P<0.05, Table S3). However post hoc pairwise comparisons showed that only parameters derived from the tumor parenchyma effectively differentiated gliomas with WHO grades 2 and 4 (P<0.001), or between WHO grades 2 and 3 (P<0.05); meanwhile, no statistically significant differences were observed between grades 3 and 4 (Table S3).
Multivariate logistic regression analysis (Table 3) revealed that WHO grade exhibited a positive correlation with age [OR: 1.068 (1.004–1.136)] and a negative correlation with tumor.Kep.max [OR: 0.973 (0.95–0.997)]. The prediction model successfully discriminated gliomas with WHO grades of 2 [AUC, 0.893 (0.815–0.957), Figure 3E and Table S4] and 4 [AUC, 0.858 (0.776–0.931), Figure 3F and Table S5].
Furthermore, the models were visualized using nomograms (Figure 3G,3H) with strong diagnostic capability and adequate calibration (Figure 3I,3J). DCA (Figure 3K,3L) further confirmed the wide clinical validity of the model within the range of threshold probabilities (0.05–0.89 or 0.05–0.81).
Glioma genotyping with DCE-MRI-related parameters
IDH gene
According to the univariate analysis (Table S6), the results were comparable to those observed in the above groups. Specifically, in predicting IDH genotype, tumor.iAUC.mean performed the best [AUC, 0.770 (0.690–0.868), Figure 4A], with the best specificity of 86.5%, although there was no evidence of a difference compared to the others (P>0.05).
According to the multivariate analysis (Table 3), tumor.Kep.max was independently associated with IDH status [OR: 1.015 (1.000–1.029)], and age was negatively associated with survival [OR: 0.894 (0.851–0.939)]. Compared to the highest AUC in the univariate analysis, the predictive power of this multifactor model [AUC, 0.855 (0.779–0.920)] improved significantly (P<0.05). Furthermore, this predictive model was visualized using a nomogram (Figure 4B) with good diagnostic capability, adequate calibration ability, and wide clinical validity within the range of threshold probabilities (0.06–0.84) (Figure 4C,4D).
1p/19q
The univariate analysis (Table S7) revealed that Ktrans.min had the best specificity for predicting 1p/19q in tumors (84.2%), and Kep.max exhibited the best sensitivity (73.7%). Furthermore, Kep.mean demonstrated the highest AUC [0.708 (0.563–0.835), Figure 4E].
According to the logistic regression analysis (Table 3), tumor.Kep.max served as an independent predictive factor for 1p/19q codeletion [OR: 0.982 (0.968–0.996)]. However, the predictive power of this model did not improve [AUC, 0.705 (0.581–0.821), P<0.05].
Nomograms were constructed (Figure 4F), and DCA indicated the acceptable potential clinical usefulness of the nomograms (Figure 4G). Nevertheless, the calibration plot revealed a deviation from the true events, suggesting that the model was not well calibrated (Figure 4H).
CDKN2A/B gene
In diagnosing the CDKN2A/B genotype, Ve, Kep, and iAUC obtained from the tumor parenchyma provided excellent diagnostic values (Figure 4I and Table S8, P<0.01). Remarkably, tumor.Ve.max achieved the largest AUC of 0.93, coupled with 100% sensitivity and 90.7% specificity, using an optimal retrospectively determined threshold of 2.87. Additionally, Kep showed 100% specificity and was lower for tumors with homozygous CDKN2A/B deletion than for those without CDKN2A/B deletion.
Unfortunately, despite these promising results, no significant variables were incorporated into the logistic regression equation to predict the CDKN2A/B status. Furthermore, the model was visualized using nomograms (Figure 4J), which exhibited good diagnostic capability; however, the calibration plot revealed a deviation from true events, suggesting that the model was not well calibrated (Figure 4K). DCA (Figure 4L) revealed that the model demonstrated an acceptable clinical validity.
EGFR and +7/–10 cytogenetic signature
To determine the EGFR or +7/−10 type (Tables S9,S10), Ve derived from the peritumoral area had the smallest P value of 0.061 and 0.058 (borderline significant, respectively). ROC analysis revealed that the AUC was 0.649 or 0.917 (P=0.069 or 0.059), with 73.7% or 100% specificity and 59.5% or 83.3% sensitivity for predicting EGFR amplification or the +7/−10 cytogenetic signature, respectively. However, they did not establish a related prediction model.
Glioma prognosis with DCE-MRI-related parameters
The final multivariate Cox regression analysis identified tumor.Ktrans.max [HR: 1.70 (1.05–2.74)], and tumor.iAUC.min [HR: 4.34 (1.60–11.79)] as independent prognostic risk factors for glioma patients (P<0.05, Table 4). Time-dependent ROC analysis revealed AUC values with 95% CI of 0.75 (0.58–0.92), 0.64 (0.47–0.82), and 0.66 (0.43–0.89) for 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival, respectively (Figure 5A). Adequate calibration (Figure 5B) was developed for practical use, and a nomogram (Figure 5C) exhibited acceptable stratification capacity. The DCAs (Figure 5D-5F) demonstrated that the prognostic model offered a good overall net benefit for 1-year survival outcome (Figure 5D), indicating its strong potential for predicting the survival of patients with glioma.
Table 4
| Variance | Univariate Cox regression | Multivariate Cox regression | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P | HR (95% CI) | β | SE | P | HR (95% CI) | ||
| Age | – | – | – | – | ns | – | |
| Sex | – | – | – | – | ns | – | |
| tumor.Ktrans.max | 0.03* | 1.27 (1.03–1.56) | 0.53 | 0.24 | 0.03* | 1.70 (1.05–2.74) | |
| tumor.Ktrans.mean | 0.06 | 5.67 (0.96–33.35) | – | – | ns | – | |
| peritumoral.Ve.max | 0.08 | 1.599 (0.95–2.69) | – | – | ns | – | |
| peritumoral.Ve.mean | 0.01* | 6.03 (1.58–22.99) | – | – | ns | – | |
| tumor.iAUC.min† | 0.001** | 3.54 (1.67–7.50) | 1.47 | 0.51 | 0.004** | 4.34 (1.60–11.79) | |
†, this continuous variable was transformed into categorical variables according to the mode “0”. ns, P>0.05; *, P<0.05; **, P<0.01. β, regression coefficient; CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; iAUC, initial area under the curve for the first 60 seconds; SE, standard error of regression coefficient.
Discussion
Based on the latest 2021 WHO classification, this retrospective study aimed to investigate the clinical utility of preoperative DCE-derived parameters in adult diffuse gliomas. Our findings indicate that certain DCE-derived parameters, such as the maximum values of Kep and Ktrans derived from tumor tissue, exhibit excellent diagnostic performance in predicting glioma prognosis and grading, as well as identifying the genetic status of IDH, 1p/19q, and CDKN2A/B (Table S11). Additionally, we provided diagnostic threshold values for various significant parameters and visualized prediction models using nomograms, which offer a relatively quantitative and intuitive approach with clinically useful thresholds to meet the practical needs of clinical decision-makers.
According to the univariate analysis, numerous DCE-related parameters were significantly different between HGGs and LGGs, between WHO grade 2- and 3- gliomas, between WHO grade 2- and 4- gliomas, and between different statuses of IDH, 1p/19q, and CDKN2A/B, as well as for predicting glioma prognosis. Notably, tumor.Kep.max emerged as the most crucial parameter because it served as an independent predictive factor in several final prediction models. Kep is known to reflect vessel permeability and surface area (26). More malignant and infiltrative gliomas are associated with increased permeability and larger surface areas, leading to the accumulation of contrast agents in the extravascular compartment, resulting in delayed reverse transfer and a decreased rate (27). Accordingly, lower Kep values indicate higher glioma grades and IDH-wild genotypes (27). Possible reasons for these findings include variations in grouping criteria (some studies classify HGG as WHO grades 3 and 4), differences in the WHO CNS edition, and patient cohorts. Another explanation is that our study utilized genomic sequence analysis to detect both IDH1 and IDH2 mutations, whereas previous studies primarily focused on IDH1 R132H mutation detection using immunohistochemistry, which represents only the most common mutation in gliomas (5,28-30). This approach may have resulted in slightly higher false-negative rates, such as missing mutations in IDH2 (27).
Regarding 1p/19q status, Santwijk et al. concluded that the impact of 1p/19q codeletion on DCE-related metrics remains poorly understood and has not been fully elucidated despite a systematic literature search (5). In addition, Ahn et al. demonstrated that DCE indices were not significantly associated with 1p/19q codeletion in LGG (28). However, in our study, a lower Kep tended to be 1p/19q-codeleted. Therefore, our findings provide valuable insights into this field of research.
To the best of our knowledge, there are limited studies predicting CDKN2A/B or +7/−10 status using MR, particularly DCE-MRI (14,31-36). Importantly, our study revealed that Ve derived from tumor tissue is an independent positive predictor of CDKN2A/B status. We hypothesized that this may be due to the correlation between Ve and cellularity/mitotic activity (37,38). Although our study was one of the earlier studies to attempt to predict the +7/−10 status using DCE-derived parameters, the results were not promising. Nevertheless, our data provide preliminary evidence of a correlation between DCE-derived parameters and CDKN2A/B phenotypes.
Contrary to our expectations, no significant parameters were associated with EGFR amplification, which plays a crucial role in promoting tumor growth and invasion. We speculate that this may be attributed to an unbalanced patient population and insufficient sample size, which may have led to selection bias and limited the power of the analysis to detect differences in DCE-derived indices. Future studies with larger sample sizes and additional genetic testing are required to resolve this uncertainty.
Consistent with the established literature, our study reaffirmed the prognostic value of Ktrans and iAUC derived from tumor, demonstrating that higher Ktrans was associated with worse OS or higher HR, and the iAUC was found to be an independent negative prognostic factor (39-41). Notably, our analysis revealed diminished prognostic utility of peritumoral DCE-MRI parameters for molecular marker prediction and survival outcome assessment—a finding that diverges from prior HGG-specific studies reporting improved OS associated with high Ve in peritumoral edema (26). This discrepancy may be multifactorial. Primarily, the inclusion of LGG cases in our cohort introduced distinct pathophysiological characteristics, particularly relatively restricted peritumoral infiltration compared to the HGG populations examined in previous investigations. Furthermore, technical limitations warrant consideration, including (I) intrinsic heterogeneity within the peritumoral microenvironment affecting parameter consistency; and (II) non-standardized ROI selection protocols in peritumoral regions. In future studies, we plan to prioritize areas with higher tumor infiltration for ROI placement, although accurately identifying such regions remains a methodological challenge.
This study has some limitations. First, despite exceeding the numbers of patients in many previous studies (4,27,29,42,43), the sample size remains limited. Second, the data were retrospectively collected from a single center, potentially introducing selection bias. Third, owing to technical constraints, this study did not analyze the prognostic marker TERT or another DCE-derived parameter, Vp. Future investigations that incorporate more molecular markers, integrated histopathological verification, and expanded measurements of Vp through multicenter retrospective or prospective studies are warranted to provide more insightful results regarding the clinical applications of DCE-MRI.
Conclusions
This study comprehensively evaluated the performance of DCE-derived parameters in patients with glioma, highlighting the clinical value of DCE-MRI in the diagnosis of glioma, especially for integrated molecular diagnostics and prognosis. We also developed convenient and effective prediction models and nomograms for use by clinicians. Future studies with larger sample sizes, such as those for TERT, EGFR, and +7/−10, will further refine the predictive ability of DCE-MRI for genotyping performance.
Acknowledgments
We sincerely thank Prof. Shen Guoping for his valuable guidance and support in the survival analysis components of this study. His expertise was instrumental in this aspect of the research, and we acknowledge this contribution with appreciation.
Footnote
Reporting Checklist: The authors have completed the STROBE reporting checklist. Available at https://qims.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/qims-2025-36/rc
Data Sharing Statement: Available at https://qims.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/qims-2025-36/dss
Funding: This work was supported by
Conflicts of Interest: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form (available at https://qims.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/qims-2025-36/coif). The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.
Ethical Statement: The authors are accountable for all aspects of the work in ensuring that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the work are appropriately investigated and resolved. This study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and its subsequent amendments. The study was approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University (No. [2021]209). The Ethics Committee waived the need for informed consent due to the retrospective nature of the study.
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