Diagnostic performance of ultrasound elastography alone and in combination with conventional ultrasonography for Bethesda III–IV thyroid nodules: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Original Article

Diagnostic performance of ultrasound elastography alone and in combination with conventional ultrasonography for Bethesda III–IV thyroid nodules: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Cheng-Fei Sun1# ORCID logo, Di Wu2#, Jia-Yue Sun3, Yi-Lin Hou3, Ji-Wei Xin1, Xu-Chen Ru4, Yun-Fei Zhang3 ORCID logo

1Department of Ultrasound, General Hospital of Fushun Mining Bureau of Liaoning Health Industry Group, Fushun, China; 2Department of Ultrasound, Liaoning Cancer Hospital & Institute, Shenyang, China; 3Department of Ultrasound, The First Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, China; 4Department of Ophthalmology, Fushun Eye Hospital, Fushun, China

Contributions: (I) Conception and design: CF Sun, D Wu; (II) Administrative support: YF Zhang; (III) Provision of study materials or patients: JW Xin, XC Ru; (IV) Collection and assembly of data: JY Sun, YL Hou; (V) Data analysis and interpretation: CF Sun, D Wu; (VI) Manuscript writing: All authors; (VII) Final approval of manuscript: All authors.

#These authors contributed equally to this work as co-first authors.

Correspondence to: Yun-Fei Zhang, MD, PhD. Department of Ultrasound, The First Hospital of China Medical University, No. 155 Nanjing North Street, Heping District, Shenyang 110001, China. Email: zyfcmu@163.com.

Background: The current diagnostic paradigm for thyroid nodule characterization predominantly depends on fine needle aspiration (FNA) cytology. Nevertheless, in cases of indeterminate cytology classified as Bethesda III and IV, the clinical community continues to face significant challenges in establishing reliable non-invasive diagnostic modalities for accurate pathological differentiation. This meta-analysis evaluates the diagnostic value of ultrasound elastography in Bethesda III-IV thyroid nodules, and compares the diagnostic efficacy when combined with conventional ultrasound.

Methods: We searched English medical databases, including PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, and Ovid, for relevant literature. These studies were reviewed by 2 members who also extracted pertinent data. We calculated pooled values via random effects meta-analysis to determine diagnostic performance.

Results: A total of 2,356 nodules were included in 27 studies. The overall sensitivity of ultrasound elastography was 0.81, the overall specificity was 0.83, the diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) was 16.40, and the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.87. A total of 8 articles incorporated the combined application of ultrasound elastography and conventional ultrasonography. The overall sensitivity was 0.87, the overall specificity was 0.73, the DOR was 21.33, and the AUC was 0.90.

Conclusions: Ultrasound elastography has good diagnostic value for Bethesda III–IV thyroid nodules, and the semiquantitative method outperforms the qualitative and quantitative methods. Ultrasound elastography in combination with conventional ultrasonography has better sensitivity and a lower specificity, and there is no significant difference between the 2 methods overall (P>0.05).

Keywords: Ultrasonography; elasticity imaging techniques; thyroid nodules; meta-analysis


Submitted Mar 04, 2025. Accepted for publication Aug 08, 2025. Published online Sep 16, 2025.

doi: 10.21037/qims-2025-553


Introduction

With an increasing incidence, thyroid nodules became the most common endocrine tumor in 2022. Moreover, thyroid cancer has also become the most common endocrine cancer, ranking seventh among all newly diagnosed cancers, with a male-to-female ratio of approximately 1:3 (1-3). When ultrasound detects suspicious thyroid nodules, fine needle aspiration (FNA) is the most accurate and cost-effective method for evaluating thyroid nodules (4).

Despite this, approximately 5–19% of lesions remain unidentified as benign or malignant through FNA (5). These typically include atypia of undetermined significance and follicular neoplasms, which the Bethesda System for Reporting Thyroid Cytopathology (BSRTC), Royal College of Pathologists, British Thyroid Association, and Italian Society of Endocrinology categorize as Bethesda III–IV (6), Thy3 class (Thy3a, 3f) (7,8), and TIR3 class (3A-3F) (9). On the basis of FNA classification and ultrasound findings, the recommended management approach includes repeated FNA, molecular testing, and diagnostic lobectomy (10). However, some nodules may remain undiagnosed even after repeated FNA, necessitating close follow-up. Molecular testing poses challenges, particularly in certain regions, and the malignancy rate is relatively low, with approximately 70% of postoperative pathologies revealing benign conditions. Therefore, developing simple and effective noninvasive methods for accurate diagnosis becomes particularly crucial.

Ultrasound elastography is a noninvasive technique that, on the basis of its different working principles, is categorized into strain elastography and shear wave elastography (SWE) (11). It was first applied to thyroid scanning by Lyshchik et al. in 2005 (12). Currently, the World Federation for Ultrasound in Medicine and Biology recommends elastography as a supplementary method to conventional thyroid ultrasound and its use in guiding follow-up for patients diagnosed with benign lesions through FNA biopsy (13). Conventional ultrasound typically evaluates key morphological features such as composition, echogenicity, shape, margin, echogenic foci, and color Doppler flow imaging (CDFI), among others. However, the value of elastography in the treatment of Bethesda III–IV nodules remains controversial, with sensitivity ranging from 13% to 100% and specificity varying from 33% to 100% (14-17).

Therefore, we conducted a meta-analysis to explore the diagnostic efficacy of ultrasound elastography in detecting Bethesda III–IV thyroid nodules. Furthermore, we compared it with the combination of ultrasound elastography and conventional ultrasonography to analyze its practical value. We present this article in accordance with the PRISMA reporting checklist (18) (available at https://qims.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/qims-2025-553/rc).


Methods

As this study was a meta-analysis and a retrospective study, ethical approval was not needed. This study has been registered on the Prospero website (https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/) with the ID CRD42024618764.

Literature search

A literature search was conducted by two independent members across databases including PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, the Cochrane Library, and Ovid. The specific search strategy is detailed in Table 1. Duplicate articles were manually excluded. Unpublished relevant data were also considered, but no suitable studies were found. The search concluded on 6 October 2024, with no stipulated starting date.

Table 1

Search strategy of each database

Database Strategy
PubMed (((((((elasticity imaging techniques[MeSH]) OR (elasticity)) OR (elastography)) OR (vibro acoustography)) OR (acoustic radiation force impulse)) OR (sonoelastography)) OR (elastogram)) AND ((((indeterminate) OR (Thy)) OR (bethesda)) OR (follicular)) OR (TIR)) AND (thyroid)
Cochrane Library (#1)(indeterminate) OR (Thy) OR (bethesda) OR (follicular) OR (TIR)
(#2)(thyroid)
(#3) MeSH descriptor: [Elasticity Imaging Techniques] explode all trees
(#4) (elasticity) OR (Elastography) OR (acoustic radiation force impulse) OR (vibro acoustography) OR (Sonoelastography) OR (elastogram)
(#5) #3 OR #4
(#6) #1 AND #2 AND #5
Embase (#1) indeterminate OR thy OR bethesda OR follicular OR TIR
(#2) thyroid
(#3) elasticity OR elastography OR (vibro AND acoustography) OR (acoustic AND radiation AND force AND impulse) OR sonoelastography OR elastogram
(#4) #1 AND #2 AND #3
Web of Science (#1) (((TS=(indeterminate)) OR TS=(Thy)) OR TS=(bethesda)) OR TS=(follicular)
(#2) (((((TS=(elasticity)) OR TS=(elastography)) OR TS=(vibro acoustography)) OR TS=(acoustic radiation force impulse)) OR TS=(sonoelastography)) OR TS=(elastogram)
(#3) TS=(thyroid)
(#4) #1 AND #2 AND #3
OVID ((indeterminate or Thy or bethesda or follicular or TIR) and (elasticity or elastography or vibro acoustography or acoustic radiation force impulse or sonoelastography or elastogram) and thyroid).af.

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

The criteria for the literature search were formulated by 2 independent members. The inclusion criteria were as follows: (I) elastic imaging was performed, and the patient was definitively diagnosed with Bethesda III–IV or other corresponding pathological classifications (Thy 3, TIR 3) on the basis of BSRTC criteria; (II) the complete report data in the article can be used to calculate the true positive (TP), false positive (FP), false negative (FN), and true negative (TN) cases; (III) postoperative histopathology and/or FNA cytology results served as the reference standards. The exclusion criteria were as follows: (I) comments, case reports, letters, meeting reports, editorial comments, and reviews; (II) articles that were not written in English; (III) effective data could not be extracted from the articles; (IV) for two articles published by the same institute using the same set of data at the same time, earlier or fewer data-rich articles were excluded; (V) for some studies with incomplete data, the corresponding author was sent an e-mail request to provide the original data, and no reply was received within 15 days.

Data extraction

The data extraction was completed by two members independently. When disagreements arose, a third member reviewed the articles, which were then resolved through consensus. During the data extraction process, the two researchers independently browsed all the retrieved literature and selected articles eligible for inclusion in this study. All pertinent data, including the first author, country of study, year of publication, study type, number of patients included, age range of patients, sex ratio of patients, number of lesions, reference standard, FNA classification, ultrasound system, type of ultrasound elastography, cut-off value, and the numbers of TPs, FPs, FNs, and TNs, were extracted from each article. If the article included both conventional ultrasonography and/or ultrasound elastography combined with conventional ultrasonography, the corresponding numbers of TPs, FPs, FNs, and TNs were also extracted. If the article mentioned more than 1 set of cut-off values and their corresponding data, all team members collaborated to extract the data via consultation. If not explicitly stated by the authors, cut-off values were determined on the basis of the Youden index.

Quality assessment

The Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 (QUADAS-2) was used as the assessment tool in this study (19). The QUADAS-2 tool consists of four main components: case selection, trials to be evaluated, the gold standard, and case flow and progression. All the components are evaluated for risk of bias, and the first 3 components are also assessed for clinical applicability. On the basis of the answers ‘yes’, ‘no’, or ‘unclear’ to the relevant landmark questions included in each section, the risk of bias can be classified as ‘low’, ‘high’, or ‘unclear’. The quality assessment was conducted by two members independently. In the case of disagreement, a third member reviewed the article, and resolution was achieved through consensus.

Statistical analysis

The statistical software utilized in this study included Meta-Disc (Version 1.4, Unit of Clinical Biostatistics, Ramón y Cajal Hospital, Madrid, Spain), STATA (Version 18.0 for Windows, Stata Corp., College Station, TX, USA), and SPSS Statistics (Version 29.0, IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA). Cochran Q and I2 statistics were employed to assess the statistical heterogeneity among the studies, whereas Spearman’s correlation coefficient was utilized to analyze threshold effects. When the P value of heterogeneity was less than 0.05 and I2 was less than 50%, the fixed effects model was applied; otherwise, the random effects model was utilized. STATA software was used to investigate the stability of the results through sensitivity analysis, and funnel plots and Egger tests were employed to analyze potential publication bias. Meta-Disc was used to calculate the overall sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (LR+), negative likelihood ratio (LR−), diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), area under the curve (AUC), and the Q* index. Meta-regression analysis was employed to explore potential sources of heterogeneity and identify factors that may affect diagnostic value through subgroup analysis. Cohen’s κ analysis was conducted via SPSS software to evaluate interobserver consistency. The Z test was used to compare the overall sensitivity, specificity, DOR, and AUC between ultrasound elastography and conventional ultrasonography or the combined application of the two.


Results

Search results and study characteristics

After excluding duplicate results and conducting title and abstract screening, the full texts of potentially eligible studies were read. Ultimately, this analysis included a total of 27 studies, covering the period from 2012 to 2024. These studies included a total of 2,356 nodules, as illustrated in Figure 1. Detailed information on all the included studies can be found in Tables 2,3.

Figure 1 Flow diagram of study selection.

Table 2

Baseline characteristics of included studies

No. First author Country Year Study period Number of patients Age (average or median), years Female/male Number of lesions Reference standard
1 Federico Ragazzoni (20) Italy 2012 Prospective 115 54 92/23 24 Pathology
2 Uğur Unlütürk (21) Turkey 2012 Prospective 197 43.7 157/40 18 Pathology
3 Vito Cantisani (22) Italy 2012 Prospective 140 38 128/12 140 Pathology
4 Pierpaolo Trimboli (23) Italy 2012 Prospective 446 53.4 358/88 42 Pathology
5 Nesreen Mohey (17) Egypt 2013 Retrospective 46 NA 31/15 16 Pathology
6 Gilles Russ (14) France 2013 Prospective 3,543 54 NA 33 Pathology
7 Teresa Rago (24) Italy 2014 Retrospective 1,520 46.1 NA 169 Pathology
8 B. Cakir (25) Turkey 2014 Prospective 250 48 237/13 270 Pathology
9 Massimo Giusti (26) Italy 2014 Prospective 78 55.4 60/18 61 Pathology
10 Francesca Garino (27) Italy 2015 Prospective 108 50 81/27 108 Pathology
11§ Anthony E Samir (28) USA 2015 Prospective 35 55 23/12 35 Pathology
12 Vito Cantisani (29) Italy 2016 Prospective 356 56 234/122 315 Pathology
13 Martyna Wojtaszek-Nowicka (30) Poland 2017 Retrospective 68 54.3 61/7 68 Pathology
14 Chong-Ke Zhao (31) China 2017 Prospective 103 56 89/14 103 Pathology
15 Ghobad Azizi (32) USA 2018 Prospective 151 51.4 135/16 151 Repeated FNA/Pathology
16 Dana Stoian (33) Romania 2019 Retrospective 45 44.6 38/7 45 Pathology
17 Qiong Wu (34) China 2020 Retrospective 458 46.6 346/112 106 Pathology
18 Ilenia Marturano (35) Italy 2020 Prospective 50 54.8 42/8 50 Pathology
19 Andreea Borlea (36) Romania 2020 Prospective 64 32.5 52/12 64 Pathology
20 Giorgos Pikis (15) Cyprus 2021 Retrospective 99 49.3 79/20 79 Pathology
21 Pedro H.M Moraes (37) Brazil 2021 Prospective 58 54.7 51/7 62 Pathology
22 Ilaria Celletti (38) Italy 2021 Prospective 128 54.3 89/39 96 Pathology
23 Bekir Uçan (39) Turkey 2021 Prospective 132 44 119/13 108 Pathology
24 Nonhlanhla Chambara (40) China 2022 Prospective 121 53.8 100/21 52 Pathology
25 Awesh Shingare (16) India 2023 Prospective 44 45.2 30/14 6 Repeated FNA/Pathology
26 Priya Appanraj (41) India 2024 Prospective 24 NA 17/7 38 Pathology
27 Monica Latia (42) Romania 2024 Retrospective 97 48 82/15 97 Pathology

, another study (43) from the same department was omitted. , another study (44) from the same department was omitted. §, another study (45) from the same department was omitted. FNA, fine needle aspiration; NA, not available.

Table 3

Main characteristics of included studies

No. Classification Ultrasound system Mechanism Assessment method Index of elastography Scores/cut off value as malignance TP FP FN TN
1 Thy3 Esaote My Lab 70XVG US scanner (Esaote SpA, Genoa, Italy) RTE Qualitative ES4 3–4 5 6 2 11
2 NA (Hürthle cells neoplasm, follicular adenoma, atypical cytology with unknown significance) Hitachi EUB 7000 HV machine RTE Qualitative ES3 3 6 2 3 7
3 Thy3 Toshiba Aplio XVG and for Q-USE the Elastography-Q software (Toshiba, Osaka, Japan) SRE Semiquantitative Strain ratio >2.05 35 8 5 92
4 Thy3 Hitachi Logos High Vision E system (Hitachi Ltd., Tokyo, Japan) RTE Qualitative ES4 3–4 12 8 4 18
5 NA (follicular lesion) GE LOGIQ P6 (GE Medical Systems, USA) RTE Qualitative ES5 4–5 3 0 1 12
6 Bethesda III, IV Toshiba Aplio MX scanner (Toshiba Medical Systems Europe, Zoetermer, The Netherlands) RTE Quantitative QSV >0.045 1 6 7 19
7 Thy3 (3A, 3B) Hitachi EUB 8500 Logos system machine (Hitachi Medical Systems, Tokyo, Japan) RTE Qualitative ES5 4-5 27 4 4 134
8 Bethesda III Hitachi EUB 7500 model elastosonography (Hitachi Medical Corporation 4-14-1, Soto-Kanda, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, Japan) RTE Semiquantitative Strain index >6.66 80 7 1 182
9 Thy3 MyLab 70 XvG US scanner (Esaote Biomedica) SRE Semiquantitative ELX 2/1 >0.95 10 10 2 39
10 Thy3 Esaote MyLab 70XVG (Esaote SpA, Genoa, Italy) RTE Qualitative ES4 3–4 25 9 8 66
11§ Bethesda III, IV SuperSonic Imagine (SuperSonic, Aix en-Provence, France) SWE Quantitative Young’s Modulus >22.30 kPa 9 3 2 21
12 Thy3 Aplio 500 US system, with Q-Elastography software (Toshiba, Erlangen, The Netherlands) SRE Semiquantitative Strain ratio >2.09 77 16 8 214
13 Bethesda III, IV Aloka Prosound Alpha 7 sonograph (ALOKA co. Ltd., Tokyo, Japan) SRE Semiquantitative Mean strain ratio ≥2.01 2 11 6 49
14 Bethesda III S2000 US scanner (Siemens Medical Solutions, Mountain View, CA, USA) ARFI Qualitative ARFI imaging grade 4–6 35 13 3 52
15 Bethesda III, IV Siemens Acuson S3000 US system SWE Quantitative Shear wave velocity ≥3.59 m/s 26 25 5 95
16 Bethesda III Hitachi Preirus device (Hitachi Medical Corporation, Tokyo, Japan) RTE Qualitative ES4 3–4 16 14 3 12
17 Bethesda III, IV Hitachi HV-900 or Avius (Hitachi Medical, Tokyo, Japan) RTE Qualitative ES4 3–4 19 37 7 43
18 Thy3B ACUSON S2000 scanning platform (scanner) running VB10E release software and eSIE Touch Software (Siemens, Erlangen, Germany) RTE Qualitative Two elastographic parameters 2 6 3 4 37
19 Bethesda III, IV Hitachi Preirus device (Hitachi Medical Corporation, Tokyo, Japan) RTE Qualitative ES4 3–4 16 6 5 37
20 Thy3 GE Logiq E9 system (GE Healthcare, Milwaukee, WI, USA) RTE Qualitative ES4 3–4 13 44 0 22
21 Bethesda III, IV GE Logiq E9 (GE Healthcare, Milwaukee, WI, USA) SWE Semiquantitative MDR (kPa) >1.530 25 2 2 33
22 TIR3 Toshiba Aplio 500 or 800 (Osaka, Japan) SRE Semiquantitative Strain ratio >1.96 24 4 4 64
23 NA (AUS, FLUS, follicular neoplasm, SFN) EUB-7000HV scanner (Hitachi Medical Corporation, Tokyo, Japan) RTE Qualitative ES5 3–5 23 26 13 46
24 NA (AUS, FLUS, follicular neoplasm, SFN) Aixplorer ultrasound machine (Supersonic Imagine, Aix-en-Provence, France) SWE Quantitative L Min >6.1 kPa 9 8 6 29
25 Bethesda III, IV Philips® HDI 5000® unit RTE Qualitative ES4 3–4 1 3 0 2
26 Bethesda III, IV NA SWE Quantitative Elasticity indices (E mean) ≥65.53 kPa 16 6 7 9
27 Bethesda IV Hitachi Preirus device (Hitachi Medical Corporation, Tokyo, Japan) & Aixplorer Mach 30 (Supersonic imagine, Aix-en-Provence, France) RTE/SWE Qualitative ES4 3–4 19 14 13 51

, another study (43) from the same department was omitted. , another study (44) from the same department was omitted. §, another study (45) from the same department was omitted. , two elastographic parameters: intra-nodule stiffness and extra-nodule extended stiffness positive for malignancy if both present. ARFI, acoustic radiation force impulse; AUS, atypia of undetermined significance; ES, elastographic scoring; FLUS, follicular lesion of undetermined significance; FN, false negative; FP, false positive; LMin, longitudinal minimum; MDR, muscle deformation ratio; NA, not available; QSV, quantitative strain value; RTE, real-time elastography; SFN, suspicious for a follicular neoplasm; SRE, strain ratio elastography; SWE, shear wave elastography; TN, true negative; TP, true positive.

Ragazzoni et al. (20) and Garino et al. (27) published two articles from the same institute, with research periods of 2010 and 2011–2013. Cantisani et al. (22,29) and Celletti et al. (38) published 3 articles from the same institute, with research periods of 2009–2011, 2012–2014, and 2017–2018. Stoian et al. (33), Borlea et al. (36), and Latia (42) published 3 articles from the same institute, with the following research periods and subjects: 2018 (Bethesda III), 2019 (Bethesda III, IV), and 2013–2023 (Bethesda IV). After independent assessments by two members and subsequent consultation with the research team, it was determined that the research time and subjects of Borlea et al. (36) and Latia et al. (42) had minimal overlap. Consequently, both articles were unanimously agreed upon for inclusion in this study. Good interobserver consistency was observed when studies were excluded on the basis of their titles and abstracts (κ=0.886). In the other procedures, there was no disagreement between the two observers (κ=1).

Quality assessment

The quality assessment results of each study are shown in Figure 2. Some articles did not mention whether patients were included consecutively, nor did they specify whether the interpretation of the results of the trials to be evaluated was conducted without knowledge of the results of the gold standard trials. For articles utilizing semiquantitative or quantitative methods, it remains unclear whether the diagnostic threshold was established prior to the experiment. Overall, the quality assessment results of the included studies were positive. The interobserver agreement between the two researchers was high (κ=0.825).

Figure 2 Quality assessment of the included studies according to the QUADAS-2 criteria. (A) Each included study and (B) the overall judgment. QUADAS-2, Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2.

Threshold effect

The Spearman correlation coefficient was –0.329 (P=0.094), indicating the absence of a threshold effect. The Cochran Q, I2, and P values for DOR in ultrasound elastography were 140.98, 81.6%, and <0.001, respectively, suggesting a high degree of heterogeneity in this study. Therefore, we adopted a random effects model for analysis.

Diagnostic accuracy of ultrasound elastography

Under the random effects model, the overall sensitivity of ultrasound elastography for the diagnosis of benign and malignant Bethesda III–IV thyroid nodules was 0.81 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.78–0.84], the overall specificity was 0.83 (95% CI: 0.81–0.84), the LR+ was 4.11 (95% CI: 2.73–6.21), the LR− was 0.28 (95% CI: 0.19–0.43), and the DOR was 16.40 (95% CI: 8.61–31.24). The summary receiver operating characteristic (SROC) curve indicated overall good accuracy, with an AUC of 0.87 (Q* =0.80) (Figure 3).

Figure 3 Forest plots of the pooled sensitivity (A), specificity (B), and DOR (C) of ultrasound elastography for diagnosis, and SROC curve (D) of their diagnostic accuracy obtained in this paper. The middle curve is the SROC curve. The upper and lower curves show the 95% CI. AUC, area under the curve; CI, confidence interval; DOR, diagnostic odds ratio; OR, odds ratio; SE, standard error; SROC, summary receiver operating characteristic.

Meta-regression and subgroup analysis

To further explore the source of heterogeneity, meta-regression analysis was used to evaluate the article type (Group 1: Prospective; Group 2: Retrospective), elastography type [Group 1: real-time elastography (RTE); Group 2: Strain ratio elastography (SRE); Group 3: shear wave elastography (SWE)], evaluation method (Group 1: qualitative; Group 2: quantitative; Group 3: semiquantitative), region [Group 1: Europe; Group 2: Asia; Group 3: Other (America, Africa)], classification [Group 1: Bethesda; Group 2: Other (Thy, TIR, NA)], reference standard (Group 1: histopathology; Group 2: repeated FNA or Histopathology), number of lesions (Group 1: ≤64; Group 2: >64), and malignant rate (Group 1: ≤28.85%; Group 2: <28.85%). The results indicated that the evaluation method was a significant factor influencing the heterogeneity of the studies (P=0.032). Further analysis revealed that there was no significant difference between qualitative and quantitative evaluations P=0.384), but significant differences were observed between quantitative and semiquantitative evaluations (P<0.001) or between semiquantitative and qualitative evaluations (P=0.023). Compared with qualitative and quantitative evaluation methods, semiquantitative methods performed better (Table 4).

Table 4

Results of the meta-regression and subgroup analysis of the sonoelastography studies

Subgroup Studies (n) Pooled sensitivity (95% CI) Pooled specificity (95% CI) Pooled LR+ (95% CI) Pooled LR− (95% CI) Pooled DOR (95% CI) AUC P value
Article type 0.3695
   Prospective 20 0.83 (0.79–0.86) 0.86 (0.84–0.88) 4.64 (3.11–6.93) 0.26 (0.15–0.43) 19.66 (9.45–40.91) 0.8854
   Retrospective 7 0.74 (0.66–0.82) 0.72 (0.68–0.76) 2.76 (1.44–5.30) 0.39 (0.21–0.74) 9.52 (2.63–34.45) 0.8218
Elastography type 0.5714
   RTE 15 0.80 (0.75–0.85) 0.79 (0.76–0.81) 3.47 (1.94–6.22) 0.33 (0.18–0.59) 12.42 (4.92–31.38) 0.8477
   SRE 5 0.86 (0.79–0.90) 0.90 (0.87–0.93) 7.20 (3.55–14.59) 0.21 (0.06–0.82) 34.53 (8.28–144.05) 0.9210
   SWE 5 0.79 (0.71–0.87) 0.81 (0.75–0.86) 3.91 (2.17–7.03) 0.28 (0.14–0.55) 16.20 (4.74–55.32) 0.8705
Evaluation method 0.0318*
   Qualitative 15 0.76 (0.71–0.81) 0.74 (0.71–0.78) 3.12 (2.06–4.73) 0.35 (0.27–0.47) 11.17 (5.68–21.98) 0.8377 0.3847
   Quantitative 5 0.69 (0.59–0.79) 0.78 (0.72–0.84) 2.85 (1.65–4.94) 0.44 (0.17–1.16) 6.35 (1.93–20.90) 0.7768 0.0098*
   Semiquantitative 7 0.90 (0.86–0.93) 0.92 (0.90–0.94) 9.54 (5.01–18.17) 0.13 (0.03–0.50) 71.15 (18.79–269.49) 0.9526 0.0229*
Region 0.5865
   Europe 14 0.79 (0.74–0.83) 0.88 (0.85–0.90) 4.70 (2.75–8.03) 0.31 (0.17–0.56) 16.11 (6.79–38.22) 0.8701
   Asia 9 0.83 (0.78–0.88) 0.73 (0.69–0.77) 2.73 (1.40–5.34) 0.29 (0.13–0.62) 11.10 (3.22–38.22) 0.8371
   Others (America, Africa) 4 0.86 (0.76–0.93) 0.84 (0.78–0.89) 7.05 (2.95–16.86) 0.19 (0.11–0.32) 39.83 (13.55–117.05) 0.9284
Classification 0.3546
   Bethesda 13 0.81 (0.77–0.85) 0.80 (0.77–0.83) 3.29 (1.95–5.56) 0.29 (0.14–0.61) 11.95 (4.51–31.67) 0.8441
   Others (Thy, TIR, NA) 14 0.81 (0.77–0.85) 0.84 (0.82–0.87) 5.17 (2.59–10.32) 0.27 (0.18–0.40) 22.00 (9.31–51.99) 0.8934
Reference standard 0.6317
   Pathology 25 0.81 (0.78–0.84) 0.83 (0.81–0.85) 4.31 (2.75–6.76) 0.28 (0.18–0.44) 16.99 (8.54–33.77) 0.8743
   Repeated FNA/pathology 2 0.84 (0.67–0.95) 0.79 (0.69–0.85) 2.53 (0.84–7.63) 0.22 (0.10–0.49) 12.94 (2.34–71.69)
Number of lesions 0.1371
   ≤64 14 0.74 (0.67–0.80) 0.79 (0.74–0.83) 3.04 (2.05–4.50) 0.37 (0.23–0.61) 9.36 (4.76–18.39) 0.8201
   >64 13 0.84 (0.80–0.87) 0.84 (0.81–0.86) 5.26 (2.69–10.27) 0.22 (0.12–0.40) 27.55 (10.15–74.76) 0.9081
Malignant rate 0.8137
   ≤28.85% 13 0.81 (0.76–0.85) 0.82 (0.79–0.84) 3.92 (7.96–7.82) 0.32 (0.15–0.65) 14.46 (5.14–40.67) 0.8611
   >28.85% 14 0.82 (0.77–0.85) 0.84 (0.81–0.86) 4.24 (2.57–7.00) 0.27 (0.17–0.42) 5.32 (2.12–13.37) 0.8782

*, meta-regression, P<0.05. AUC, area under the curve; CI, confidence interval; DOR, diagnostic odds ratio; FNA, fine needle aspiration; LR+, positive likelihood ratio; LR−, negative likelihood ratio; NA, not available; RTE, real-time elastography; SRE, strain ratio elastography; SWE, shear wave elastography.

Comparison of the diagnostic value of conventional ultrasonography alone and in combination with elastography

Among the 27 included articles, 20 included conventional ultrasonography, 8 included ultrasound elastography combined with conventional ultrasonography, and 3 (14,15,24) had data that differed from those of elastography. Among the conventional ultrasonography articles, only 6 articles used the risk stratification system (RSS) for evaluation [TI-RADS (14,33), K-TIRADS (38), EU-TIRADS (40), and ACR TI-RADS (41,42)], whereas the other 14 relied on multiparametric image features including grayscale characteristics and color Doppler flow patterns for classification. The Spearman correlation coefficient for conventional ultrasonography was 0.421 (P=0.06), and for ultrasound elastography combined with conventional ultrasonography, it was −0.262 (P=0.53), indicating that there was no threshold effect in either diagnostic test. The Cochran Q, I2, and P values for DOR in conventional ultrasonography were 71.76%, 73.5%, and <0.001, respectively. For ultrasound elastography combined with conventional ultrasonography, the Cochran Q, I2, and P values for DOR were 15.02, 53.4%, and 0.036, respectively. Therefore, a random effects model was used for analysis. Compared with that of elastography, the overall sensitivity of conventional ultrasonography was 0.43 (Z=−8.54, P<0.001), the overall specificity was 0.83 (Z=0.00, P=0.50), the DOR was 5.48 (Z=−0.13, P=0.45), and the AUC was 0.76 (Z=−0.36, P=0.36) (Figure 4). When ultrasound elastography was combined with conventional ultrasonography, the overall sensitivity increased to 0.87 (Z=0.85, P=0.80), the overall specificity remained at 0.75 (Z=−1.60, P=0.055), the DOR increased to 25.48 (Z=0.04, P=0.51), and the AUC reached 0.90 (Z=0.07, P=0.53) (Figure 5).

Figure 4 Forest plots of the pooled sensitivity (A), specificity (B), and DOR (C) of conventional ultrasonography for diagnosis, and SROC curve (D) of their diagnostic accuracy obtained in this paper. The middle curve is the SROC curve. The upper and lower curves show the 95% CI. AUC, area under the curve; CI, confidence interval; DOR, diagnostic odds ratio; OR, odds ratio; SE, standard error; SROC, summary receiver operating characteristic.
Figure 5 Forest plots of the pooled sensitivity (A), specificity (B), and DOR (C) of ultrasound elastography combined with conventional ultrasonography for diagnosis, and SROC curve (D) of their diagnostic accuracy obtained in this paper. The middle curve is the SROC curve. The upper and lower curves show the 95% CI. AUC, area under the curve; CI, confidence interval; DOR, diagnostic odds ratio; OR, odds ratio; SE, standard error; SROC, summary receiver operating characteristic.

Sensitivity analysis and publication bias

The sensitivity analysis revealed that the stability of the included studies was good, indicating a certain level of reliability in the results (Figure 6). We used a funnel plot (Figure 7) and the Egger test to analyze whether there was any publication bias. The funnel plot appeared largely symmetrical, and the Egger test yielded a P value of 0.66, indicating that there was no significant publication bias in this study.

Figure 6 Sensitivity analysis chart. Three long lines represent the pooled effect size and its 95% CI. The circle behind each study and the short lines on both sides represent the overall effect size and its 95% CI after removing the study. CI, confidence interval.
Figure 7 Funnel plot for evaluating potential publication bias. Assess whether all studies are symmetrically distributed about the central axis. Each solid circle signifies a study, with the solid line and the dashed lines on either side depicting the 95% CI for the combined effect size. CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio; s.e., standard error.

Discussion

Currently, the 2023 BSRTC classifies thyroid FNA results into six categories, namely, nondiagnostic (I), benign (II), atypia of undetermined significance (III), follicular neoplasm (IV), suspicious for malignancy (V), and malignant (VI). According to the updated BSRTC criteria (6), the implied risk of malignancy is 13–30% for Bethesda III and 23–34% for Bethesda IV nodules. Our own meta-analysis included a total of 2,356 nodules from 27 studies, with 1,691 benign and 665 malignant cases and a malignancy rate of 28.23%. This rate aligns closely with the Bethesda IV average risk of malignancy (30%) and falls within the combined III–IV range (13–34%), supporting the representativeness of our pooled data relative to current clinical benchmarks.

Thyroid cytologically indeterminate nodules typically refer to those nodules with unclear pathological characteristics, making it impossible to determine their benign or malignant nature. However, opinions vary regarding which nodules fall under the category of thyroid cytologically indeterminate nodules. Although almost all scholars agree that Bethesda III–IV nodules constitute thyroid cytologically indeterminate nodules, some also consider nodules with suspicious malignancy as falling into this indeterminate category (6,46,47). To exercise caution, this study refrained from using the term “cytological indeterminacy” as the subject of research. Additionally, during the literature screening, articles that merely mentioned cytological indeterminacy without specifying the category were excluded to prevent potential bias.

Meta-analysis revealed that ultrasound elastography has significant diagnostic value for Bethesda III–IV thyroid nodules, with a total sensitivity of 0.81, total specificity of 0.83, and an AUC of 0.87. This study exhibited heterogeneity (I2=81.6%, P<0.001). The meta-regression results indicated that research methodology was a notable factor influencing heterogeneity (P=0.032). The semiquantitative approach was superior to both the qualitative and the quantitative methods. This could be attributed to the fact that the semiquantitative method combines the ease of use inherent to qualitative methods with the high objective accuracy of quantitative methods. No notable disparities were observed among the other subgroups. Additionally, the analysis demonstrated that, compared with ultrasound elastography alone, the combination of ultrasound elastography and conventional ultrasonography exhibited greater sensitivity (0.85 vs. 0.81) and AUC (0.90 vs. 0.87), albeit with a lower specificity (0.75 vs. 0.83). Overall, there was no substantial disparity in diagnostic value between the two methods for Bethesda III–IV thyroid nodules. Compared with ultrasound elastography, conventional ultrasonography exhibited a lower specificity (0.43 vs. 0.81, P<0.001) and AUC (0.76 vs. 0.87) while maintaining a similar sensitivity (0.83 vs. 0.83). Overall, there appears to be no significant difference in diagnostic value between the two for Bethesda III–IV thyroid nodules. To our knowledge, this is the first meta-analysis to assess the diagnostic value of ultrasound elastography specifically for Bethesda III–IV thyroid nodules and the first study to evaluate the diagnostic efficacy of combining ultrasound elastography with conventional ultrasonography.

Recently, a meta-analysis conducted by Xing et al. (48) on the diagnostic efficacy of the RSS for thyroid nodules with uncertain cytology revealed that the overall sensitivity and specificity of the RSS were 0.86 (95% CI: 0.80–0.91) and 0.33 (95% CI: 0.25–0.41), respectively. We conducted a separate analysis of articles (14,33,38,40-42) that employed the ultrasound risk stratification system in conventional ultrasonography and reported that the final overall sensitivity and specificity were 0.73 and 0.66, respectively (I2=40.1%, P=0.138, using a fixed-effects model). In our study, conventional ultrasonography demonstrated higher overall specificity (0.83 vs. 0.73 vs. 0.33) and lower overall sensitivity (0.43 vs. 0.66 vs. 0.86). The reason for the difference may be the different inclusion criteria used in the studies by Xing et al. (Bethesda III–V categories) and our study (Bethesda III–IV categories). Additionally, our study focused primarily on the diagnostic value of ultrasound elastography for Bethesda III–IV thyroid nodules and its comparison with the diagnostic efficacy of conventional ultrasonography in combination, which may have resulted in a less comprehensive search for an ultrasound risk stratification system.

In a meta-analysis of the diagnostic efficacy of ultrasound elastography for thyroid nodules with indeterminate cytology (Bethesda III–V) in 2020, Qiu et al. (49) reported an overall sensitivity of 0.766 (95% CI: 0.686–0.835) and an overall specificity of 0.867 (95% CI: 0.780–0.931). Their subsequent 2023 SWE-focused meta-analysis (50) yielded sensitivity of 0.792 (95% CI: 0.727–0.850) and specificity of 0.845 (95% CI: 0.797–0.887). Crucially, both studies demonstrated systematically higher specificity but lower sensitivity than our findings. We attribute these discrepancies to differences in inclusion criteria: critical review revealed that the 2020 study incorporated one article on non-diagnostic nodules (51) and another lacking indeterminate FNA confirmation (52), whereas the 2023 analysis included Bethesda I and III hybrid cohorts (53).

In a meta-analysis of the diagnostic efficacy of RTE for thyroid nodules with indeterminate cytology (Bethesda III–IV) published by Trimboli et al. (54) in 2015, the overall sensitivity was 0.69 (95% CI: 0.59–0.82) and the overall specificity was 0.75 (95% CI: 0.42–0.96). In contrast, this study included 8 additional studies (15) on RTE, with overall sensitivity (0.80) and overall specificity (0.79) that were marginally greater than those of Trimboli et al. (54).

However, our study has several limitations. First, although we included 27 studies, the number of nodules included in the articles was relatively small, with a median of 64. Second, most of the included studies employed RTE (15 out of 27), with fewer articles utilizing SRE and SWE and only one article using acoustic radiation force impulse (31). Third, since we included only English-language literature and were unable to obtain unpublished data, language restrictions prevented the inclusion of some studies (55,56), potentially affecting the reliability of our findings. Fourth, the value of combining ultrasound elastography with the RSS should be evaluated. However, only 4 articles have conducted such research, reporting sensitivities ranging from 0.60 to 0.93 and specificities ranging from 0.31 to 0.93 (38,40-42). Therefore, owing to the limited number of studies, further evaluation has not been conducted. Finally, only two articles adopted repeated FNA/surgery as the reference standard, which may introduce bias.


Conclusions

Ultrasound elastography has significant diagnostic value for Bethesda III–IV thyroid nodules. Semiquantitative methods are superior to both quantitative and qualitative methods and demonstrate higher sensitivity than conventional ultrasonography. Compared with the combination of ultrasound elastography and conventional ultrasonography, although ultrasound elastography has greater specificity, there is no notable difference in its diagnostic value.


Acknowledgments

None.


Footnote

Reporting Checklist: The authors have completed the PRISMA reporting checklist. Available at https://qims.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/qims-2025-553/rc

Funding: None.

Conflicts of Interest: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form (available at https://qims.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/qims-2025-553/coif). The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.

Ethical Statement: The authors are accountable for all aspects of the work in ensuring that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the work are appropriately investigated and resolved.

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Cite this article as: Sun CF, Wu D, Sun JY, Hou YL, Xin JW, Ru XC, Zhang YF. Diagnostic performance of ultrasound elastography alone and in combination with conventional ultrasonography for Bethesda III–IV thyroid nodules: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Quant Imaging Med Surg 2025;15(10):9613-9630. doi: 10.21037/qims-2025-553

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